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Mt Mansfield Union Cougars (10-8)

Region: VT 1 NVAC

State: VT

Coach: Bucky Brandt

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/12	LAMOILLE (14-4)	VT 2 NVAC	89.1		W	16-	10		0.275
4/15	RICE MEMORIAL (15-3)	VT 2 NVAC	90.9		L	5-	6		-0.175
4/17	at Middlebury Union (12-6)	VT 1 NVAC	88.2	3	L	2-	14		-0.175
4/19	at Rice Memorial (15-3)	VT 2 NVAC	90.9		W	8-	4		0.375
4/26	at Essex Junction (16-3)	VT 1 NVAC	93.3	1	L	5-	10		-0.150
4/29	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	L	6-	9		-0.200
5/02	at South Burlington (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	L	7-	10		-0.300
5/05	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	W	12-	7		0.225
5/07	at Burlington (0-14)	VT 1 NVAC	75.8		W	14-	1		0.025
5/10	MT ANTHONY UNION (8-9)	VT 1 MVLI	81.6	9	W	9-	2		0.075
5/14	MIDDLEBURY UNION (12-6)	VT 1 NVAC	88.2	3	W	15-	9		0.300
5/16	ESSEX JUNCTION (16-3)	VT 1 NVAC	93.3	1	L	1-	7		-0.175
5/21	at Champlain Valley (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	W	5-	4		0.325
5/24	SOUTH BURLINGTON (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	W	10-	6		0.175
5/28	at Bellows Free Academy (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	L	4-	9		-0.250
5/31	BURLINGTON (0-14)	VT 1 NVAC	75.8		W	12-	2		0.000
6/04	RUTLAND (5-12)	VT 1 MVLI	78.9	10	W	14-	4		0.025
6/07	at Champlain Valley (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	L	9-	10		-0.175
			88.5						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/12	H	Lamoille	16-	10	6	-1	+++	-0.87		7.26
4/15	H	Rice Memorial	5-	6	-1	-3	+	-0.87		2.12
4/17	A	Middlebury Union	2-	14	-12	-3	–––	0.57	-8.52
4/19	A	Rice Memorial	8-	4	4	-5	+++	0.87		8.86
4/26	A	Essex Junction	5-	10	-5	-4		0.57	-0.62
4/29	H	Champlain Valley	6-	9	-3	-2		-0.57	-1.37
5/02	A	South Burlington	7-	10	-3	2	––	0.57	-4.82
5/05	H	Bellows Free Academy	12-	7	5	1	+	-0.57	3.53
5/07	A	Burlington	14-	1	13	9	+	0.57	3.84
5/10	H	Mt Anthony Union	9-	2	7	7		-0.57	0.16
5/14	H	Middlebury Union	15-	9	6	-2	+++	-0.57	8.34
5/16	H	Essex Junction	1-	7	-6	-3	–	-0.57	-2.75
5/21	A	Champlain Valley	5-	4	1	-3	+	0.57	3.76
5/24	H	South Burlington	10-	6	4	3		-0.57	1.05
5/28	A	Bellows Free Academy	4-	9	-5	0	––	0.57	-5.34
5/31	H	Burlington	12-	2	10	10		-0.57	-0.29
6/04	H	Rutland	14-	4	10	9		-0.57	1.27
6/07	A	Champlain Valley	9-	10	-1	-3		0.57	1.76
									0.00	18.24

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	A	Middlebury Union	2-	14	2.00
5/07	A	Burlington	14-	1	-3.00
5/31	H	Burlington	12-	2	0.29
6/04	H	Rutland	14-	4	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1070
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.96		Natl Power Rank	1070
Natl SOS Rating	83.06		Natl SOS Rank	342
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1032
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1153
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.3


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