| Region: AZ 1 North | State: AZ | Coach: Larry Noble |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/08 | SAGUARO (9-7) | AZ 1 South | 85.9 | 6 | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.225 |
2/12 | CHANDLER (12-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.7 | 3 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.250 |
2/19 | CORONA DEL SOL (8-6) | AZ 1 South | 86.3 | 5 | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.225 |
2/22 | at Gilbert (1-12) | AZ 1 South | 74.8 | 9 | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.000 |
2/28 | at Chaparral (11-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.6 | 4 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.250 |
3/05 | at Desert Mountain (6-9) | AZ 1 North | 84.0 | 7 | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.200 |
3/07 | BROPHY PREP (17-4) | AZ 1 North | 93.8 | 1 | L | 2- | 7 | | -0.150 |
3/11 | at Desert Vista (3-10) | AZ 1 North | 80.1 | 8 | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.125 |
3/14 | HIGHLAND (0-13) | AZ 1 North | 73.9 | 10 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.000 |
3/26 | at Brophy Prep (17-4) | AZ 1 North | 93.8 | 1 | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.150 |
3/28 | at Highland (0-13) | AZ 1 North | 73.9 | 10 | W | 16- | 10 | | 0.025 |
4/01 | DESERT MOUNTAIN (6-9) | AZ 1 North | 84.0 | 7 | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.200 |
4/11 | DESERT VISTA (3-10) | AZ 1 North | 80.1 | 8 | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.125 |
4/15 | CORONA DEL SOL (8-6) | AZ 1 South | 86.3 | 5 | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.225 |
4/19 | vs. Brophy Prep # (17-4) | AZ 1 North | 93.8 | 1 | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.150 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.3 | | | | | | 0.40 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/08 | H | Saguaro | 8- | 5 | 3 | 1 | + | -0.17 | 2.47 | |
2/12 | H | Chandler | 8- | 9 | -1 | 0 | | -0.17 | -0.89 | |
2/19 | H | Corona del Sol | 10- | 9 | 1 | 1 | | -0.17 | -0.31 | |
2/22 | A | Gilbert | 17- | 1 | 16 | 11 | ++ | 0.17 | 5.31 | |
2/28 | A | Chaparral | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | 0.17 | -0.78 | |
3/05 | A | Desert Mountain | 16- | 7 | 9 | 2 | +++ | 0.17 | 7.10 | |
3/07 | H | Brophy Prep | 2- | 7 | -5 | -4 | | -0.17 | -1.12 | |
3/11 | A | Desert Vista | 8- | 3 | 5 | 5 | | 0.17 | 0.01 | |
3/14 | H | Highland | 12- | 6 | 6 | 10 | – | -0.17 | -3.76 | |
3/26 | A | Brophy Prep | 7- | 16 | -9 | -4 | –– | 0.17 | -4.78 | |
3/28 | A | Highland | 16- | 10 | 6 | 9 | – | 0.17 | -3.41 | |
4/01 | H | Desert Mountain | 9- | 8 | 1 | 2 | | -0.17 | -1.24 | |
4/11 | H | Desert Vista | 13- | 6 | 7 | 5 | | -0.17 | 1.67 | |
4/15 | H | Corona del Sol | 11- | 7 | 4 | 1 | + | -0.17 | 2.69 | |
4/19 | N | Brophy Prep | 4- | 11 | -7 | -4 | – | 0.00 | -2.95 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/22 | A | Gilbert | 17- | 1 | -5.30 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.35 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 949 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.87 | | Natl Power Rank | 949 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 81.20 | | Natl SOS Rank | 450 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.40 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 741 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.67 | | W-L Pct Rank | 664 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
|
