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Monte Vista/Danville Mustangs (11-10)

Conference: D1Region: CA EastBayState: CACoach: Mike Emerson

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/07at De LaSalle (18-4)CA BayShor95.33L2- 7 -0.050  
3/14BERKELEY (6-12)CA BayShor87.4W12- 6 0.175  
3/18at Granada (4-16)CA EastBay80.4W10- 1 0.025  
3/21CALIFORNIA (9-11)CA EastBay87.1W9- 1 0.125  
3/27vs. Bainbridge Island # (20-3)WA 1 Div-195.8L2-15 -0.150  
3/28vs. Lincoln # (20-2)OR Columb95.1L6- 7 -0.150  
3/29vs. Foothill-Santa Ana # (18-2)CA Seaview96.8L5- 8 -0.125  
4/01LIVERMORE (2-15)CA EastBay76.7W9- 1 0.000  
4/08at Amador Valley (15-7)CA EastBay92.97L3- 6 -0.200  
4/11FOOTHILL (16-6)CA EastBay92.58W11-10 0.250  
4/15at San Ramon Valley (20-3)CA EastBay96.42L8-15 -0.025  
4/18GRANADA (4-16)CA EastBay80.4W16- 3 0.000  
4/22at California (9-11)CA EastBay87.1W7- 6 0.175  
4/23at University SF (13-10)CA BayArea91.2W13-10 0.225  
4/25at Livermore (2-15)CA EastBay76.7W16- 2 0.000  
4/30SAINT IGNATIUS PREP (19-1)CA Indep98.81L3-18 0.000  
5/02AMADOR VALLEY (15-7)CA EastBay92.97W5- 4 0.275  
5/06at Foothill (16-6)CA EastBay92.58L7- 9 -0.225  
5/09SAN RAMON VALLEY (20-3)CA EastBay96.42L4-17 -0.050  
5/13vs. University SF # (13-10)CA BayArea91.2W8- 7 0.225  
5/14at Novato (18-4)CA Marin93.06L2- 7 -0.200  
# Neutral site 86.0     0.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/07ADe LaSalle2-7-5   -8       +0.66       2.79
3/14HBerkeley12-66   3       +-0.66       3.12
3/18AGranada10-19   9       0.66       -0.29
3/21HCalifornia9-18   5       +-0.66       3.21
3/27NBainbridge Island2-15-13   -4       –––0.00       -8.64
3/28NLincoln6-7-1   -4       +0.00       2.58
3/29NFoothill-Santa Ana5-8-3   -5       +0.00       2.28
4/01HLivermore9-18   13       ––-0.66       -5.37
4/08AAmador Valley3-6-3   -2       0.66       -0.83
4/11HFoothill11-101   0       -0.66       0.62
4/15ASan Ramon Valley8-15-7   -9       +0.66       2.14
4/18HGranada16-313   11       +-0.66       2.39
4/22ACalifornia7-61   3       –0.66       -2.48
4/23AUniversity SF13-103   1       +0.66       2.23
4/25ALivermore16-214   12       0.66       1.95
4/30HSaint Ignatius Prep3-18-15   -13       –-0.66       -2.09
5/02HAmador Valley5-41   -1       -0.66       1.85
5/06AFoothill7-9-2   -1       0.66       -1.07
5/09HSan Ramon Valley4-17-13   -8       ––-0.66       -5.18
5/13NUniversity SF8-71   1       0.00       -0.43
5/14ANovato2-7-5   -2       –0.66       -2.56
         0.00-3.77

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27NBainbridge Island2-153.00
4/18HGranada16-3-2.39
4/25ALivermore16-2-1.95
4/30HSaint Ignatius Prep3-182.09
5/09HSan Ramon Valley4-173.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 92.   Natl CCR Rank 549
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.47   Natl Power Rank 549
Natl SOS Rating 79.37   Natl SOS Rank 576
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.30   Natl Quality Win Rank 900
W-L Pct Rating 0.52   W-L Pct Rank 1278
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.7



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