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Montville Mustangs (12-8)

Conference: Gibbs

Region: NJ Grp-II

State: NJ

Coach: Rick DeBonta

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Morristown Beard (13-7)	NJ Grp-B	97.7		L	4-	14		-0.050
4/03	at Morris Catholic (10-8)	NJ Grp-B	87.4		L	7-	8		-0.375
4/05	WAYNE VALLEY (10-9)	NJ Grp-II	88.3		L	6-	8		-0.400
4/08	VERNON TOWNSHIP (7-8)	NJ Grp-III	90.9		L	7-	12		-0.325
4/10	WEST ESSEX REGIONAL (8-8)	NJ Grp-I	96.4		L	3-	9		-0.175
4/12	JEFFERSON TWP (18-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.4		L	3-	10		-0.150
4/15	at Nutley (7-11)	NJ Grp-II	87.4		W	11-	8		0.200
4/18	BOONTON (5-12)	NJ Grp-I	86.6		W	13-	6		0.150
4/22	at Blair Academy (2-16)	NJ Private	78.5		W	10-	5		0.075
4/26	at Sparta (13-5)	NJ Grp-II	96.2		W	5-	4		0.350
4/29	CLIFTON (6-9)	NJ Grp-IV	84.4		W	11-	5		0.075
5/01	at Caldwell (10-8)	NJ Grp-I	90.9		W	11-	4		0.250
5/03	BOONTON (5-12)	NJ Grp-I	86.6		W	11-	5		0.150
5/05	at Mountain Lakes (22-1)	NJ Grp-I	99.3	2	L	0-	14		0.000
5/07	MILLBURN (8-11)	NJ Grp-II	86.8		W	14-	4		0.100
5/10	ST JOSEPH MONTVALE (4-15)	NJ Grp-B	78.9		W	19-	2		0.000
5/13	FAIR LAWN (16-6)	NJ Grp-III	95.1		W	13-	11		0.250
5/15	at Roxbury (12-7)	NJ Grp-III	91.9		W	8-	7		0.250
5/17	at Montclair Kim Acad (9-10)	NJ Grp-B	90.4		W	10-	5		0.250
5/21	at Jefferson Twp (18-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.4		L	2-	14		-0.075
			81.7						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Morristown Beard	4-	14	-10	-8	–	1.37	-2.14
4/03	A	Morris Catholic	7-	8	-1	5	––	1.37	-5.63
4/05	H	Wayne Valley	6-	8	-2	6	–––	-1.37	-7.59
4/08	H	Vernon Township	7-	12	-5	3	–––	-1.37	-7.76
4/10	H	West Essex Regional	3-	9	-6	-3	–	-1.37	-2.58
4/12	H	Jefferson Twp	3-	10	-7	-4	–	-1.37	-2.87
4/15	A	Nutley	11-	8	3	2		1.37	1.06
4/18	H	Boonton	13-	6	7	4	+	-1.37	2.68
4/22	A	Blair Academy	10-	5	5	7		1.37	-1.92
4/26	A	Sparta	5-	4	1	-4	++	1.37	4.94
4/29	H	Clifton	11-	5	6	7		-1.37	-1.30
5/01	A	Caldwell	11-	4	7	0	+++	1.37	6.59
5/03	H	Boonton	11-	5	6	4		-1.37	1.68
5/05	A	Mountain Lakes	0-	14	-14	-15		1.37	0.70
5/07	H	Millburn	14-	4	10	6	++	-1.37	4.15
5/10	H	St Joseph Montvale	19-	2	17	10	+++	-1.37	7.04
5/13	H	Fair Lawn	13-	11	2	0	+	-1.37	2.01
5/15	A	Roxbury	8-	7	1	0		1.37	1.47
5/17	A	Montclair Kim Acad	10-	5	5	0	++	1.37	4.59
5/21	A	Jefferson Twp	2-	14	-12	-7	––	1.37	-5.13
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Morristown Beard	4-	14	0.00
5/05	A	Mountain Lakes	0-	14	-0.70
5/07	H	Millburn	14-	4	0.00
5/10	H	St Joseph Montvale	19-	2	-7.04
5/21	A	Jefferson Twp	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	430
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.83		Natl Power Rank	430
Natl SOS Rating	70.20		Natl SOS Rank	1448
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	569
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	940
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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