| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 2 | State: MA | Coach: Nathan Kittler |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/01 | at Dedham (0-15) | MA 3 | 75.8 | | W | 13- | 0 | | 0.050 |
4/03 | NORWOOD (16-6) | MA 2 | 93.5 | | L | 2- | 9 | | -0.075 |
4/05 | FOXBOROUGH (11-9) | MA 2 | 90.5 | | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.250 |
4/07 | at Weymouth (10-9) | MA 1 | 92.3 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.075 |
4/09 | WALPOLE (21-1) | MA 2 | 96.5 | 3 | L | 0- | 13 | | 0.000 |
4/11 | at Framingham (3-15) | MA 1 | 86.8 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.200 |
4/14 | WELLESLEY (18-5) | MA 2 | 94.4 | | L | 2- | 9 | | -0.050 |
4/16 | NEEDHAM (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.025 |
4/18 | NIPMUC REGIONAL (8-11) | MA 2 | 83.6 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/25 | MEDWAY (3-14) | MA 3 | 83.8 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.125 |
4/29 | at Milton (4-14) | MA 2 | 87.6 | | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/01 | DEDHAM (0-15) | MA 3 | 75.8 | | | - | | | |
5/02 | BRAINTREE (8-10) | MA 1 | 91.6 | | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.175 |
5/05 | at Norwood (16-6) | MA 2 | 93.5 | | L | 4- | 16 | | -0.025 |
5/07 | NEWTON NORTH (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.100 |
5/08 | at Walpole (21-1) | MA 2 | 96.5 | 3 | L | 4- | 18 | | 0.000 |
5/12 | at Brookline (9-11) | MA 1 | 91.3 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.125 |
5/14 | at Wellesley (18-5) | MA 2 | 94.4 | | L | 1- | 9 | | 0.000 |
5/19 | MILTON (4-14) | MA 2 | 87.6 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.250 |
5/21 | at Oliver Ames (11-9) | MA 2 | 90.8 | | L | 4- | 16 | | -0.150 |
| | 84.1 | | | | | | -0.88 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | A | Dedham | 13- | 0 | 13 | 8 | ++ | 1.09 | 5.33 | |
4/03 | H | Norwood | 2- | 9 | -7 | -7 | | -1.09 | -0.25 | |
4/05 | H | Foxborough | 4- | 9 | -5 | 0 | –– | -1.09 | -5.38 | |
4/07 | A | Weymouth | 6- | 7 | -1 | -7 | ++ | 1.09 | 5.62 | |
4/09 | H | Walpole | 0- | 13 | -13 | -12 | | -1.09 | -0.74 | |
4/11 | A | Framingham | 7- | 8 | -1 | -2 | | 1.09 | 0.66 | |
4/14 | H | Wellesley | 2- | 9 | -7 | -8 | | -1.09 | 0.62 | |
4/16 | H | Needham | 4- | 9 | -5 | -9 | + | -1.09 | 3.85 | |
4/18 | H | Nipmuc Regional | 8- | 4 | 4 | 4 | | -1.17 | | -0.34 |
4/25 | H | Medway | 13- | 5 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.09 | 3.49 | |
4/29 | A | Milton | 6- | 11 | -5 | -2 | – | 1.09 | -3.13 | |
5/02 | H | Braintree | 7- | 11 | -4 | -3 | | -1.09 | -1.13 | |
5/05 | A | Norwood | 4- | 16 | -12 | -9 | – | 1.09 | -3.07 | |
5/07 | H | Newton North | 5- | 12 | -7 | -6 | | -1.09 | -1.25 | |
5/08 | A | Walpole | 4- | 18 | -14 | -14 | | 1.09 | 0.44 | |
5/12 | A | Brookline | 5- | 10 | -5 | -5 | | 1.09 | 0.43 | |
5/14 | A | Wellesley | 1- | 9 | -8 | -10 | | 1.09 | 1.80 | |
5/19 | H | Milton | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | -1.09 | 0.69 | |
5/21 | A | Oliver Ames | 4- | 16 | -12 | -4 | ––– | 1.09 | -7.99 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/01 | A | Dedham | 13- | 0 | -3.00 |
4/09 | H | Walpole | 0- | 13 | 0.74 |
5/05 | A | Norwood | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
5/08 | A | Walpole | 4- | 18 | -0.44 |
5/21 | A | Oliver Ames | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.07 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 87. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1128 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 86.74 | | Natl Power Rank | 1128 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 74.90 | | Natl SOS Rank | 971 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.88 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2709 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.21 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2340 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-15 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -6.3 |
|
