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North Catholic Falcons (5-11)

Region: PA Cathol

State: PA

Coach: Luke Hogan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	CARDINAL DOUGHERTY (0-15)	PA Cathol	85.2		W	12-	4		0.125
3/28	at LaSalle College HS (31-2)	PA Cathol	99.7	1	L	1-	16		0.000
3/29	VALLEY FORGE (0-13)	PA Indep	84.4		W	12-	6		0.025
3/31	NEUMANN-GORETTI (0-11)	PA Cathol	85.1		W	8-	2		0.075
4/04	at Conwell Egan (7-8)	PA Cathol	89.9		L	2-	10		-0.100
4/07	ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (9-13)	PA Cathol	88.9		W	6-	4		0.300
4/09	FATHER JUDGE (8-8)	PA Cathol	90.1		L	6-	9		-0.175
4/11	at Archbishop Ryan (11-9)	PA Cathol	91.2		L	3-	13		-0.075
4/14	ROMAN CATHOLIC (11-10)	PA Cathol	90.3		L	1-	14		-0.125
4/16	ARCHBISHOP WOOD (17-7)	PA Cathol	96.1		L	1-	13		0.000
4/17	at Cardinal Dougherty (0-15)	PA Cathol	85.2		W	5-	3		0.175
4/21	at Archbishop Wood (17-7)	PA Cathol	96.1		L	0-	14		0.000
4/23	LASALLE COLLEGE HS (31-2)	PA Cathol	99.7	1	L	3-	15		0.000
4/30	CONWELL EGAN (7-8)	PA Cathol	89.9		L	6-	11		-0.150
5/02	at Father Judge (8-8)	PA Cathol	90.1		L	6-	12		-0.100
5/06	ARCHBISHOP RYAN (11-9)	PA Cathol	91.2		L	4-	16		-0.150
			81.3						-0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Cardinal Dougherty	12-	4	8	5	+	-1.27	2.56
3/28	A	LaSalle College HS	1-	16	-15	-21	+++	1.27	6.47
3/29	H	Valley Forge	12-	6	6	9	–	-1.27	-2.75
3/31	H	Neumann-Goretti	8-	2	6	7		-1.27	-1.16
4/04	A	Conwell Egan	2-	10	-8	-6		1.27	-1.58
4/07	H	ArchBishop Carroll	6-	4	2	-2	+	-1.27	3.91
4/09	H	Father Judge	6-	9	-3	-3		-1.27	0.47
4/11	A	Archbishop Ryan	3-	13	-10	-7	–	1.27	-3.24
4/14	H	Roman Catholic	1-	14	-13	-5	–––	-1.27	-7.95
4/16	H	Archbishop Wood	1-	13	-12	-15	+	-1.27	2.79
4/17	A	Cardinal Dougherty	5-	3	2	3		1.27	-0.90
4/21	A	Archbishop Wood	0-	14	-14	-17	+	1.27	3.32
4/23	H	LaSalle College HS	3-	15	-12	-19	+++	-1.27	6.94
4/30	H	Conwell Egan	6-	11	-5	-4		-1.27	-1.11
5/02	A	Father Judge	6-	12	-6	-6		1.27	0.00
5/06	H	Archbishop Ryan	4-	16	-12	-4	–––	-1.27	-7.77
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	LaSalle College HS	1-	16	-6.47
4/11	A	Archbishop Ryan	3-	13	0.00
4/14	H	Roman Catholic	1-	14	3.00
4/16	H	Archbishop Wood	1-	13	-2.79
4/21	A	Archbishop Wood	0-	14	-3.32
4/23	H	LaSalle College HS	3-	15	-6.94
5/06	H	Archbishop Ryan	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.91

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	1028
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.54		Natl Power Rank	1028
Natl SOS Rating	70.16		Natl SOS Rank	1451
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	1781
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	2064
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.7


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