| Region: NC 4A | State: NC | Coach: Ray St Peter |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/06 | H | Cary Academy | 2- | 7 | -5 | -8 | + | -1.45 | | 3.35 |
3/10 | A | Chapel Hill | 3- | 26 | -23 | -19 | –– | 1.35 | -4.07 | |
3/18 | H | The Woodlands | 0- | 15 | -15 | -16 | | -1.49 | | 1.07 |
3/20 | A | Wakefield | 1- | 19 | -18 | -13 | –– | 1.35 | -5.06 | |
3/27 | H | Durham Jordan | 4- | 15 | -11 | -10 | | -1.35 | -0.99 | |
4/09 | H | Green Hope | 4- | 17 | -13 | -8 | –– | -1.35 | -4.84 | |
4/11 | A | Durham Riverside | 2- | 10 | -8 | -9 | | 1.35 | 1.14 | |
4/15 | H | East Chapel Hill | 3- | 15 | -12 | -12 | | -1.35 | 0.38 | |
4/18 | H | Chapel Hill | 4- | 8 | -4 | -16 | +++ | -1.35 | 12.24 | |
4/21 | H | Hillsborough Orange | 12- | 4 | 8 | 7 | | -1.35 | 1.04 | |
4/23 | H | Cedar Ridge | 3- | 6 | -3 | -1 | – | -1.35 | -2.05 | |
4/25 | A | Durham Jordan | 4- | 15 | -11 | -13 | | 1.35 | 1.70 | |
4/29 | H | Durham Riverside | 1- | 7 | -6 | -6 | | -1.35 | 0.45 | |
5/01 | A | East Chapel Hill | 1- | 16 | -15 | -15 | | 1.35 | 0.07 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 4.42 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/10 | A | Chapel Hill | 3- | 26 | 4.07 |
3/18 | H | The Woodlands | 0- | 15 | -1.07 |
3/20 | A | Wakefield | 1- | 19 | 5.06 |
3/27 | H | Durham Jordan | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/09 | H | Green Hope | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
4/15 | H | East Chapel Hill | 3- | 15 | -0.38 |
4/25 | A | Durham Jordan | 4- | 15 | -1.70 |
5/01 | A | East Chapel Hill | 1- | 16 | -0.07 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.71 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 73. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2393 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 73.16 | | Natl Power Rank | 2393 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 81.56 | | Natl SOS Rank | 415 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.37 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2135 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.07 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2665 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 1-13 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -9.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -14.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -13.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -10.7 |
| 
