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Nease Panthers (13-5)

Region: FL 3B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Jack Francis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/05	at Fleming Island (5-7)	FL 3B Centrl	79.5		W	16-	1		0.000
2/08	WINTER SPRINGS (14-4)	FL 4B Centrl	93.2	4	W	12-	6		0.275
2/11	BARTRAM TRAIL (12-6)	FL 3B Centrl	84.3		W	17-	2		0.000
2/15	SAINT ANDREWS (22-1)	FL Dist-10	98.9		L	3-	10		-0.100
2/28	MENENDEZ (2-10)	FL 3B Centrl	77.4		W	13-	0		0.000
3/03	LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (14-5)	FL 8B Centrl	93.8	3	L	4-	5		-0.225
3/11	at Bishop Moore (12-6)	FL 7B Centrl	90.9	8	L	13-	14	ot	-0.200
3/13	BOLLES (11-6)	FL 2B Centrl	88.5	10	W	10-	0		0.125
3/14	at Oak Hall-Gainesville (4-7)	FL 3B Centrl	76.2		W	10-	3		0.000
3/21	at P.K. Yonge (2-5)	FL 3B Centrl	70.0		W	18-	1		0.000
3/24	DESMET JESUIT (11-7)	MO Patrt-1	92.6		W	12-	5		0.225
3/27	vs. St Mary's Annapolis # (13-6)	MD A MIAA	99.0		L	3-	16		-0.075
3/28	MATANZAS (12-4)	FL 4B Centrl	92.0	6	W	6-	4		0.200
3/31	vs. Menendez # (2-10)	FL 3B Centrl	77.4		W	9-	2		0.000
4/02	BARTRAM TRAIL (12-6)	FL 3B Centrl	84.3		W	9-	1		0.000
4/08	vs. Maclay # (15-4)	FL 1B Centrl	87.9		W	15-	5		0.100
4/11	BOLLES (11-6)	FL 2B Centrl	88.5	10	W	8-	5		0.125
4/18	vs. Saint Andrews # (22-1)	FL Dist-10	98.9		L	5-	15		-0.075
# Neutral site			83.8						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/05	A	Fleming Island	16-	1	15	10	++	1.48	4.91
2/08	H	Winter Springs	12-	6	6	-1	+++	-1.48	7.19
2/11	H	Bartram Trail	17-	2	15	12	+	-1.48	3.21
2/15	H	Saint Andrews	3-	10	-7	-6		-1.15		-1.42
2/28	H	Menendez	13-	0	13	15		-1.48	-1.75
3/03	H	Lake Highland Prep	4-	5	-1	-1		-1.48	-0.06
3/11	A	Bishop Moore	13-	14	-1	-2		1.48	0.74
3/13	H	Bolles	10-	0	10	5	++	-1.48	4.75
3/14	A	Oak Hall-Gainesville	10-	3	7	14	–––	1.48	-7.35
3/21	A	P.K. Yonge	18-	1	17	20	–	1.48	-3.50
3/24	H	DeSmet Jesuit	12-	5	7	1	+++	-1.14		6.22
3/27	N	St Mary's Annapolis	3-	16	-13	-7	–––	0.00		-6.23
3/28	H	Matanzas	6-	4	2	2		-1.48	0.01
3/31	N	Menendez	9-	2	7	13	–––	0.00	-6.27
4/02	H	Bartram Trail	9-	1	8	12	–	-1.48	-3.79
4/08	N	Maclay	15-	5	10	6	++	0.00	4.13
4/11	H	Bolles	8-	5	3	5	–	-1.48	-2.25
4/18	N	Saint Andrews	5-	15	-10	-7	–	0.00		-3.27
									0.00	-4.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/05	A	Fleming Island	16-	1	-4.91
2/11	H	Bartram Trail	17-	2	-3.21
2/28	H	Menendez	13-	0	1.75
3/13	H	Bolles	10-	0	0.00
3/21	A	P.K. Yonge	18-	1	3.50
3/27	N	St Mary's Annapolis	3-	16	3.00
4/08	N	Maclay	15-	5	0.00
4/18	N	Saint Andrews	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	487
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.22		Natl Power Rank	487
Natl SOS Rating	75.34		Natl SOS Rank	929
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	781
W-L Pct Rating	0.72		W-L Pct Rank	498
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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