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Newton South Lions (4-16)

Conference: Dual County

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: David McCallum

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Andover HS (14-6)	MA 1	94.8	8	L	3-	8		0.000
3/29	at Malden Catholic (10-9)	MA 1	93.1		L	0-	6		-0.100
4/05	at Xaverian Bros (16-6)	MA 1	96.3	5	L	4-	11		0.000
4/08	at Westford Academy (7-10)	MA 1	91.9		L	4-	11		-0.125
4/10	at Lincoln-Sudbury (12-7)	MA 1	94.0		L	3-	15		0.000
4/15	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		L	3-	13		-0.125
4/17	LINCOLN-SUDBURY (12-7)	MA 1	94.0		L	1-	15		-0.050
4/19	at Boston College HS (10-7)	MA 1	94.5		L	4-	5		-0.025
4/22	at Brookline (9-11)	MA 1	91.3		L	6-	8		-0.175
4/24	at Framingham (3-15)	MA 1	86.8		W	8-	7		0.225
4/26	at Newton North (12-9)	MA 1	92.9		L	1-	7		-0.125
4/28	at Tyngsborough (9-9)	MA 3	91.0		L	2-	8		-0.200
5/01	CONCORD CARLISLE (14-6)	MA 2	93.5		L	5-	9		-0.150
5/03	at Bedford (0-16)	MA 3	83.4		W	8-	5		0.125
5/06	WESTON (7-10)	MA 3	90.4		W	10-	8		0.225
5/09	at Wayland (12-10)	MA 2	92.1		L	4-	10		-0.150
5/12	WESTFORD ACADEMY (7-10)	MA 1	91.9		W	8-	6		0.325
5/13	at Waltham (13-8)	MA 1	93.8		L	4-	17		-0.050
5/15	at Acton Boxborough (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		L	4-	9		-0.075
5/19	at St Johns Prep Danvers (18-3)	MA 1	96.5	2	L	0-	14		0.000
			87.9						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Andover HS	3-	8	-5	-11	++	1.09	5.88
3/29	A	Malden Catholic	0-	6	-6	-6		1.09	0.23
4/05	A	Xaverian Bros	4-	11	-7	-13	+++	1.09	6.11
4/08	A	Westford Academy	4-	11	-7	-5		1.09	-1.88
4/10	A	Lincoln-Sudbury	3-	15	-12	-10		1.09	-1.84
4/15	H	Acton Boxborough	3-	13	-10	-5	––	-1.09	-5.22
4/17	H	Lincoln-Sudbury	1-	15	-14	-8	–––	-1.09	-6.02
4/19	A	Boston College HS	4-	5	-1	-9	+++	1.09	7.61
4/22	A	Brookline	6-	8	-2	-3		1.09	0.92
4/24	A	Framingham	8-	7	1	1		1.09	0.15
4/26	A	Newton North	1-	7	-6	-5		1.09	-0.58
4/28	A	Tyngsborough	2-	8	-6	-2	––	1.09	-4.26
5/01	H	Concord Carlisle	5-	9	-4	-4		-1.09	-0.34
5/03	A	Bedford	8-	5	3	5		1.09	-1.53
5/06	H	Weston	10-	8	2	1		-1.09	1.21
5/09	A	Wayland	4-	10	-6	-4	–	1.09	-2.45
5/12	H	Westford Academy	8-	6	2	-3	++	-1.09	4.94
5/13	A	Waltham	4-	17	-13	-8	––	1.09	-4.55
5/15	A	Acton Boxborough	4-	9	-5	-7		1.09	1.96
5/19	A	St Johns Prep Danvers	0-	14	-14	-14		1.09	-0.35
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Lincoln-Sudbury	3-	15	2.00
4/15	H	Acton Boxborough	3-	13	0.00
4/17	H	Lincoln-Sudbury	1-	15	4.00
5/13	A	Waltham	4-	17	3.00
5/19	A	St Johns Prep Danvers	0-	14	0.35
10-goal correction: 0.47

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	787
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.53		Natl Power Rank	787
Natl SOS Rating	81.81		Natl SOS Rank	396
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2264
W-L Pct Rating	0.20		W-L Pct Rank	2365
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-16		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.7


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