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Norwich Free Academy Wildcats (11-7)

Conference: ECIAC

Region: CT L

State: CT

Coach: Scott Hicks

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	SOUTH WINDSOR (8-10)	CT L	85.2		W	13-	7		0.150
4/05	WINDSOR (10-8)	CT L	89.2		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/08	at Waterford (3-12)	CT S	77.4		W	13-	7		0.050
4/11	OLD LYME (16-1)	CT S	95.1	9	L	10-	11		-0.075
4/14	STONINGTON (7-11)	CT S	83.3		W	17-	6		0.100
4/16	at North Haven (6-10)	CT M	82.2		L	5-	6		-0.375
4/18	at North Kingstown (14-5)	RI Div-1	94.7		W	8-	7		0.425
4/21	SAINT BERNARD (6-10)	CT S	75.6		W	16-	9		0.000
4/24	GUILFORD (11-8)	CT M	91.6		L	3-	13		-0.150
4/25	at Fitch-Groton (5-10)	CT M	79.6		W	14-	4		0.075
4/30	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (9-8)	CT M	80.2		W	17-	3		0.000
5/02	WHEELER-NO STONINGTON (3-13)	CT S	72.3		W	16-	5		0.000
5/07	at Suffield HS (10-8)	CT S	85.6		W	13-	11		0.225
5/10	at East Lyme (16-4)	CT M	94.0		L	8-	15		-0.100
5/13	at Ledyard (11-7)	CT M	86.7		W	11-	3		0.250
5/21	LEDYARD (11-7)	CT M	86.7		W	10-	8		0.175
5/23	vs. East Lyme # (16-4)	CT M	94.0		L	5-	13		-0.125
5/31	at Masuk-Monroe (13-6)	CT L	91.7		L	6-	12		-0.150
# Neutral site			80.1						0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	South Windsor	13-	7	6	4	+	-1.20	2.01
4/05	H	Windsor	9-	10	-1	0		-1.20	-0.63
4/08	A	Waterford	13-	7	6	8		1.20	-1.52
4/11	H	Old Lyme	10-	11	-1	-7	+++	-1.20	6.19
4/14	H	Stonington	17-	6	11	6	++	-1.20	5.33
4/16	A	North Haven	5-	6	-1	5	––	1.20	-5.57
4/18	A	North Kingstown	8-	7	1	-7	+++	1.15		8.33
4/21	H	Saint Bernard	16-	9	7	13	–––	-1.20	-6.36
4/24	H	Guilford	3-	13	-10	-4	–––	-1.20	-6.36
4/25	A	Fitch-Groton	14-	4	10	7	+	1.20	3.14
4/30	H	Woodstock Academy	17-	3	14	10	+	-1.20	3.71
5/02	H	Wheeler-No Stonington	16-	5	11	14	–	-1.20	-2.89
5/07	A	Suffield HS	13-	11	2	1		1.20	1.18
5/10	A	East Lyme	8-	15	-7	-6		1.20	-0.76
5/13	A	Ledyard	11-	3	8	0	+++	1.20	7.81
5/21	H	Ledyard	10-	8	2	3		-1.20	-0.59
5/23	N	East Lyme	5-	13	-8	-5	–	0.00	-2.96
5/31	A	Masuk-Monroe	6-	12	-6	-4		1.20	-1.74
									0.00	8.33

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	Stonington	17-	6	-1.00
4/24	H	Guilford	3-	13	0.00
4/25	A	Fitch-Groton	14-	4	0.00
4/30	H	Woodstock Academy	17-	3	-3.71
5/02	H	Wheeler-No Stonington	16-	5	2.89
10-goal correction: -0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	858
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.51		Natl Power Rank	858
Natl SOS Rating	67.69		Natl SOS Rank	1709
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	973
W-L Pct Rating	0.61		W-L Pct Rank	891
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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