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Niagara Wheatfield Falcons (15-6)

Region: NY A Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Vince Shiffert

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	at Amherst (13-5)	NY B Sec 6	96.2	5	L	6-	9		-0.275
3/29	at Ithaca (14-6)	NY A Sec 4	95.9		L	5-	7		-0.250
4/08	JAMESTOWN (2-15)	NY A Sec 6	75.2		W	24-	1		0.000
4/12	at Nichols (0-15)	NY P Sec 6	80.4		W	19-	4		0.000
4/19	HAMBURG (21-2)	NY B Sec 6	98.6	2	L	16-	17		-0.200
4/21	LANCASTER (8-7)	NY A Sec 6	88.6		W	15-	9		0.000
4/23	at Clarence (12-8)	NY A Sec 6	91.6	10	W	12-	11		0.100
4/26	at Timon St Jude (14-4)	NY P Sec 6	96.4	4	W	15-	9		0.175
4/28	WEST SENECA WEST (5-13)	NY A Sec 6	83.7		W	16-	6		0.000
5/01	at Grand Island (6-11)	NY B Sec 6	86.4		W	16-	3		0.000
5/02	WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (8-10)	NY A Sec 6	88.4		W	19-	6		0.000
5/06	at Lockport (7-12)	NY A Sec 6	84.3		W	11-	5		0.000
5/09	at North Tonawanda (3-11)	NY A Sec 6	78.7		W	25-	1		0.000
5/10	EDEN (11-8)	NY C Sec 6	85.0		W	15-	3		0.000
5/13	at Orchard Park (19-3)	NY A Sec 6	98.7	1	L	14-	17		-0.150
5/15	at Frontier (13-6)	NY A Sec 6	95.7	6	W	13-	11		0.175
5/19	at Cicero-North Syracuse (15-4)	NY A Sec 3	96.4		L	15-	16	ot	-0.225
5/24	SALAMANCA (17-3)	NY C Sec 6	93.2	7	W	20-	11		0.075
5/30	LOCKPORT (7-12)	NY A Sec 6	84.3		W	18-	3		0.000
6/03	FRONTIER (13-6)	NY A Sec 6	95.7	6	W	14-	9		0.125
6/06	vs. Orchard Park # (19-3)	NY A Sec 6	98.7	1	L	13-	15		-0.175
# Neutral site			87.9						-0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	A	Amherst	6-	9	-3	1	–	0.89	-3.93
3/29	A	Ithaca	5-	7	-2	0		0.99		-1.85
4/08	H	Jamestown	24-	1	23	23		-0.89	0.13
4/12	A	Nichols	19-	4	15	15		0.89	0.27
4/19	H	Hamburg	16-	17	-1	-2		-0.89	0.91
4/21	H	Lancaster	15-	9	6	10	––	-0.89	-4.11
4/23	A	Clarence	12-	11	1	6	––	0.89	-5.30
4/26	A	Timon St Jude	15-	9	6	3	+	0.89	3.14
4/28	H	West Seneca West	16-	6	10	13	–	-0.89	-3.14
5/01	A	Grand Island	16-	3	13	10	+	0.89	3.31
5/02	H	Williamsville North	19-	6	13	10	+	-0.89	2.80
5/06	A	Lockport	11-	5	6	11	––	0.89	-5.08
5/09	A	North Tonawanda	25-	1	24	20	+	0.89	3.89
5/10	H	Eden	15-	3	12	12		-0.89	0.19
5/13	A	Orchard Park	14-	17	-3	-4		0.89	1.36
5/15	A	Frontier	13-	11	2	3		0.89	-0.80
5/19	A	Cicero-North Syracuse	15-	16	-1	-1		0.99		-0.26
5/24	H	Salamanca	20-	11	9	7	+	-0.89	2.35
5/30	H	Lockport	18-	3	15	13	+	-0.89	2.14
6/03	H	Frontier	14-	9	5	5		-0.89	0.41
6/06	N	Orchard Park	13-	15	-2	-3		0.00	1.47
									0.00	-2.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	Jamestown	24-	1	-0.13
4/12	A	Nichols	19-	4	-0.27
4/28	H	West Seneca West	16-	6	3.14
5/01	A	Grand Island	16-	3	-3.31
5/02	H	Williamsville North	19-	6	-2.80
5/09	A	North Tonawanda	25-	1	-3.89
5/10	H	Eden	15-	3	-0.19
5/30	H	Lockport	18-	3	-2.14
10-goal correction: -0.46

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	140
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.69		Natl Power Rank	139
Natl SOS Rating	82.41		Natl SOS Rank	367
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	2484
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	537
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0


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