| Region: NY A Sec 2 | State: NY | Coach: Mike Vorgang |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/05 | vs. Albany Academy # (4-12) | NY A Sec 2 | 78.7 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/08 | BALLSTON SPA (11-8) | NY A Sec 2 | 90.6 | 6 | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.125 |
4/10 | at Saratoga Spgs (7-12) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.9 | 9 | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/14 | SHAKER (6-15) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.0 | 10 | W | 7- | 6 | ot | 0.100 |
4/16 | at Columbia (11-9) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.1 | 8 | W | 17- | 9 | | 0.125 |
4/19 | at Duxbury (22-2) | MA 1 | 98.4 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.275 |
4/22 | GUILDERLAND (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 95.7 | 2 | W | 5- | 4 | | 0.175 |
4/24 | BURNT HILLS (4-17) | NY B Sec 2 | 77.1 | | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/29 | at Shenendehowa (13-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 93.4 | 3 | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.200 |
5/01 | SARATOGA SPGS (7-12) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.9 | 9 | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.075 |
5/03 | vs. John Jay-Cross River # (18-6) | NY B Sec 1 | 99.2 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.250 |
5/06 | at Bethlehem (2-17) | NY A Sec 2 | 80.2 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.025 |
5/08 | COLONIE (15-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 92.8 | 4 | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.100 |
5/10 | HENDRICK HUDSON (9-11) | NY B Sec 1 | 95.5 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.150 |
5/13 | at Shaker (6-15) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.0 | 10 | W | 9- | 1 | | 0.125 |
5/17 | at Christian Bros (14-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 91.0 | 5 | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.150 |
5/20 | at Guilderland (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 95.7 | 2 | W | 6- | 3 | | 0.225 |
5/22 | SHENENDEHOWA (13-7) | NY A Sec 2 | 93.4 | 3 | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.150 |
5/30 | COLUMBIA (11-9) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.1 | 8 | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.075 |
6/03 | vs. Colonie # (15-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 92.8 | 4 | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.125 |
6/06 | vs. Shaker # (6-15) | NY A Sec 2 | 87.0 | 10 | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.125 |
6/11 | at Yorktown (20-4) | NY A Sec 1 | 99.1 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.225 |
| # Neutral site | | 93.2 | | | | | | 2.48 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | N | Albany Academy | 18- | 1 | 17 | 15 | + | 0.00 | 2.07 | |
4/08 | H | Ballston Spa | 11- | 8 | 3 | 5 | – | -0.97 | -2.48 | |
4/10 | A | Saratoga Spgs | 7- | 4 | 3 | 5 | | 0.97 | -1.80 | |
4/14 | H | Shaker | 7- | 6 | 1 | 6 | –– | -0.97 | -5.46 | |
4/16 | A | Columbia | 17- | 9 | 8 | 5 | + | 0.97 | 2.69 | |
4/19 | A | Duxbury | 12- | 7 | 5 | -1 | ++ | 1.03 | | 5.58 |
4/22 | H | Guilderland | 5- | 4 | 1 | 3 | | -0.97 | -1.87 | |
4/24 | H | Burnt Hills | 19- | 2 | 17 | 18 | | -0.97 | -1.34 | |
4/29 | A | Shenendehowa | 5- | 3 | 2 | 2 | | 0.97 | 0.37 | |
5/01 | H | Saratoga Spgs | 12- | 1 | 11 | 7 | ++ | -0.97 | 4.26 | |
5/03 | N | John Jay-Cross River | 9- | 5 | 4 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | | 4.30 |
5/06 | A | Bethlehem | 10- | 5 | 5 | 9 | –– | 0.97 | -4.11 | |
5/08 | H | Colonie | 7- | 4 | 3 | 6 | – | -0.97 | -2.63 | |
5/10 | H | Hendrick Hudson | 9- | 6 | 3 | 4 | | -1.03 | | -1.42 |
5/13 | A | Shaker | 9- | 1 | 8 | 5 | + | 0.97 | 3.48 | |
5/17 | A | Christian Bros | 8- | 6 | 2 | 4 | – | 0.97 | -2.29 | |
5/20 | A | Guilderland | 6- | 3 | 3 | 1 | + | 0.97 | 2.07 | |
5/22 | H | Shenendehowa | 8- | 6 | 2 | 4 | | -0.97 | -1.57 | |
5/30 | H | Columbia | 14- | 3 | 11 | 7 | + | -0.97 | 3.75 | |
6/03 | N | Colonie | 14- | 3 | 11 | 5 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.34 | |
6/06 | N | Shaker | 8- | 4 | 4 | 5 | | 0.00 | -1.49 | |
6/11 | A | Yorktown | 6- | 9 | -3 | -1 | | 1.03 | | -1.80 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 6.67 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | N | Albany Academy | 18- | 1 | -2.07 |
4/24 | H | Burnt Hills | 19- | 2 | 1.34 |
5/01 | H | Saratoga Spgs | 12- | 1 | -1.00 |
5/30 | H | Columbia | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
6/03 | N | Colonie | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.17 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 195. | | Natl CCR Rank | 35 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 96. | | Natl Poll Rank | 34 |
| Natl Power Rating | 98.90 | | Natl Power Rank | 34 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 93.60 | | Natl SOS Rank | 47 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 2.48 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 18 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.95 | | W-L Pct Rank | 29 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 21-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 7-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 15-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 18-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.0 |
| 
