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Northfield Mt Hermon Hoggers (5-11)

Region: NE 1 West

State: MA

Coach: Jeff Neill

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	vs. Brunswick School # (8-8)	NE 1 West	93.6	7	L	7-	12		-0.175
4/02	at Choate (7-8)	NE 1 West	92.2	9	L	5-	10		-0.225
4/05	at Avon Old Farms (11-5)	NE 1 West	95.4	6	L	8-	11		-0.150
4/09	at Phillips Andover (10-5)	NE East-1	95.7		L	8-	9		-0.125
4/12	at Hotchkiss (7-6)	NE 1 West	95.5	5	L	6-	11		-0.125
4/16	CUSHING ACADEMY (9-8)	NE East-1	91.1		W	19-	6		0.225
4/19	at Kent School (7-9)	NE 1 West	91.3		W	9-	8	2ot	0.250
4/23	TRINITY-PAWLING (14-2)	NE 1 West	98.7	2	L	7-	15		-0.125
4/26	vs. Taft School # (4-10)	NE 1 West	90.3		W	12-	8		0.250
4/30	SALISBURY SCHOOL (12-4)	NE 1 West	97.7	3	L	9-	10		-0.100
5/02	WILLISTON NORTHAMPTON (7-6)	NE 2 West	89.4		W	19-	7		0.200
5/03	at Holderness (12-3)	NE East-1	96.5		L	7-	9		-0.100
5/10	PHILLIPS EXETER (13-4)	NE East-1	97.1		L	7-	12		-0.125
5/14	at Kimball Union (7-7)	NE East-1	93.1		W	13-	6		0.300
5/17	at Loomis Chaffee (11-5)	NE 1 West	96.4	4	L	6-	13		-0.150
5/19	DEERFIELD (15-1)	NE 1 West	99.2	1	L	8-	12		-0.100
# Neutral site			94.7						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	N	Brunswick School	7-	12	-5	-3	–	0.00	-2.37
4/02	A	Choate	5-	10	-5	-1	––	0.32	-4.42
4/05	A	Avon Old Farms	8-	11	-3	-4		0.32	0.64
4/09	A	Phillips Andover	8-	9	-1	-5	+	0.33		3.72
4/12	A	Hotchkiss	6-	11	-5	-5		0.32	-0.12
4/16	H	Cushing Academy	19-	6	13	1	+++	-0.33		12.47
4/19	A	Kent School	9-	8	1	0		0.32	1.08
4/23	H	Trinity-Pawling	7-	15	-8	-5	–	-0.32	-2.72
4/26	N	Taft School	12-	8	4	0	+	0.00	3.65
4/30	H	Salisbury School	9-	10	-1	-6	++	-0.32	5.06
5/02	H	Williston Northampton	19-	7	12	2	+++	-0.16		9.86
5/03	A	Holderness	7-	9	-2	-6	+	0.33		3.54
5/10	H	Phillips Exeter	7-	12	-5	-5		-0.33		0.47
5/14	A	Kimball Union	13-	6	7	-2	+++	0.33		9.09
5/17	A	Loomis Chaffee	6-	13	-7	-4	–	0.32	-3.06
5/19	H	Deerfield	8-	12	-4	-6	+	-0.32	2.27
									0.00	39.14

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	H	Cushing Academy	19-	6	-3.00
5/02	H	Williston Northampton	19-	7	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	572
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.34		Natl Power Rank	572
Natl SOS Rating	97.09		Natl SOS Rank	10
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	1943
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	2054
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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