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Norwalk Bears (8-10)

Conference: FCIAC

Region: CT L

State: CT

Coach: Chris McGee

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	GREENWICH HS (18-3)	CT L	97.1	4	L	8-	16		-0.025
4/04	at Westhill (8-9)	CT L	86.5		W	14-	9		0.175
4/09	RIDGEFIELD (19-4)	CT L	97.0	5	L	9-	17		-0.050
4/10	at Wilton (12-8)	CT M	95.6	7	L	7-	18		-0.025
4/12	CHESHIRE HS (10-10)	CT L	92.9		L	9-	10	ot	-0.200
4/15	at Brien McMahon-Norwalk (10-8)	CT M	94.1		L	7-	12		-0.150
4/17	ST JOSEPH-TRUMBULL (12-8)	CT S	93.3		W	9-	8	ot	0.275
4/21	TRINITY CATHOLIC (1-15)	CT S	77.3		W	14-	2		0.000
4/25	at Fairfield-Warde (6-10)	CT M	85.1		W	17-	10		0.150
4/29	DANBURY (3-13)	CT L	81.0		W	15-	6		0.025
5/02	at Stamford (4-11)	CT L	82.7		W	14-	5		0.100
5/05	NEW CANAAN (14-7)	CT M	95.5	8	L	6-	16		-0.100
5/09	at Trumbull (9-9)	CT L	90.4		W	14-	11		0.250
5/12	NEWTOWN (16-5)	CT L	94.7		L	5-	17		-0.200
5/13	at Bridgeport Central (0-14)	CT L	70.9		W	18-	0		0.000
5/15	DARIEN (22-1)	CT M	99.3	1	L	4-	19		0.000
5/21	at Greenwich HS (18-3)	CT L	97.1	4	L	5-	11		0.000
5/31	at Newtown (16-5)	CT L	94.7		L	9-	13		-0.125
			86.4						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Greenwich HS	8-	16	-8	-9		-1.20	0.79
4/04	A	Westhill	14-	9	5	3		1.20	1.70
4/09	H	Ridgefield	9-	17	-8	-8		-1.20	-0.26
4/10	A	Wilton	7-	18	-11	-9		1.20	-1.95
4/12	H	Cheshire HS	9-	10	-1	-2		-1.20	0.52
4/15	A	Brien McMahon-Norwalk	7-	12	-5	-4		1.20	-0.55
4/17	H	St Joseph-Trumbull	9-	8	1	-1		-1.20	1.96
4/21	H	Trinity Catholic	14-	2	12	13		-1.20	-1.45
4/25	A	Fairfield-Warde	17-	10	7	4	+	1.20	2.71
4/29	H	Danbury	15-	6	9	9		-1.20	-0.22
5/02	A	Stamford	14-	5	9	6	+	1.20	3.02
5/05	H	New Canaan	6-	16	-10	-6	––	-1.20	-4.50
5/09	A	Trumbull	14-	11	3	0	+	1.20	3.17
5/12	H	Newtown	5-	17	-12	-2	–––	-1.20	-9.79
5/13	A	Bridgeport Central	18-	0	18	17		1.20	1.49
5/15	H	Darien	4-	19	-15	-13	–	-1.20	-2.43
5/21	A	Greenwich HS	5-	11	-6	-11	++	1.20	5.19
5/31	A	Newtown	9-	13	-4	-5		1.20	0.61
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Wilton	7-	18	1.00
4/21	H	Trinity Catholic	14-	2	1.45
5/05	H	New Canaan	6-	16	0.00
5/12	H	Newtown	5-	17	2.00
5/13	A	Bridgeport Central	18-	0	-1.49
5/15	H	Darien	4-	19	2.43
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	634
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.94		Natl Power Rank	634
Natl SOS Rating	80.00		Natl SOS Rank	537
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1180
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1567
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.3


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