High School Computer Ratings

Novato Hornets (18-4)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Marin

State: CA

Coach: Michael Pardi

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/23	BELLA VISTA (7-12)	CA SanJoq	84.4		W	17-	4		0.000
2/27	at University SF (13-10)	CA BayArea	91.2		W	11-	10		0.175
3/04	PIEDMONT (9-10)	CA BayShor	90.2		W	7-	4		0.175
3/10	at Las Lomas (9-9)	CA DFAL	85.5		W	10-	1		0.050
3/13	at Bishop O'Dowd (9-8)	CA BayShor	89.2		W	14-	5		0.125
3/19	DAVIS (11-6)	CA BayShor	90.5		W	8-	7	ot	0.125
3/21	BERKELEY (6-12)	CA BayShor	87.4		W	13-	8		0.125
3/24	at Sir Francis Drake (6-6)	CA Marin	85.0		W	20-	6		0.025
3/26	MIRAMONTE (18-4)	CA DFAL	93.7	4	W	10-	9		0.275
4/02	at Redwood (11-8)	CA Marin	92.1	9	W	5-	4	ot	0.275
4/04	SAN MARIN (4-12)	CA Marin	83.6		W	12-	2		0.025
4/08	at Mullen (10-7)	CO Centenn	92.9		L	5-	12		-0.225
4/09	at Denver East (10-5)	CO South	92.1		L	4-	9		-0.250
4/16	TAMALPAIS (7-12)	CA Marin	84.8		W	9-	3		0.050
4/18	SAN RAFAEL (5-12)	CA Marin	82.5		W	13-	5		0.000
4/25	at Branson (9-7)	CA Marin	88.4		W	10-	9		0.125
4/30	MARIN CATHOLIC (11-10)	CA Marin	91.2		W	6-	5		0.200
5/02	at Terra Linda (2-10)	CA Marin	79.4		W	15-	4		0.000
5/06	BRANSON (9-7)	CA Marin	88.4		W	18-	9		0.100
5/08	MARIN CATHOLIC (11-10)	CA Marin	91.2		L	7-	8	ot	-0.300
5/14	MONTE VISTA/DANVILLE (11-10)	CA EastBay	91.5		W	7-	2		0.200
5/15	at De LaSalle (18-4)	CA BayShor	95.3	3	L	3-	14		-0.100
			83.1						1.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	H	Bella Vista	17-	4	13	10	+	-0.66	3.47
2/27	A	University SF	11-	10	1	3		0.66	-1.55
3/04	H	Piedmont	7-	4	3	3		-0.66	-0.05
3/10	A	Las Lomas	10-	1	9	8		0.66	0.85
3/13	A	Bishop O'Dowd	14-	5	9	5	++	0.66	4.32
3/19	H	Davis	8-	7	1	5	–	-0.66	-3.51
3/21	H	Berkeley	13-	8	5	5		-0.66	0.34
3/24	A	Sir Francis Drake	20-	6	14	9	++	0.66	4.51
3/26	H	Miramonte	10-	9	1	-1		-0.66	1.81
4/02	A	Redwood	5-	4	1	-1		0.66	1.91
4/04	H	San Marin	12-	2	10	9		-0.66	1.17
4/08	A	Mullen	5-	12	-7	-1	––	1.16		-5.94
4/09	A	Denver East	4-	9	-5	0	––	1.16		-4.71
4/16	H	Tamalpais	9-	3	6	8	–	-0.66	-2.46
4/18	H	San Rafael	13-	5	8	11	–	-0.66	-3.09
4/25	A	Branson	10-	9	1	5	–	0.66	-3.72
4/30	H	Marin Catholic	6-	5	1	2		-0.66	-1.00
5/02	A	Terra Linda	15-	4	11	12		0.66	-0.54
5/06	H	Branson	18-	9	9	6	+	-0.66	2.96
5/08	H	Marin Catholic	7-	8	-1	2	–	-0.66	-3.00
5/14	H	Monte Vista/Danville	7-	2	5	2	+	-0.66	2.56
5/15	A	De LaSalle	3-	14	-11	-6	––	0.66	-4.99
									0.00	-10.64