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Northville Mustangs (6-13)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Greg Durham

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Cranbrook (16-6)	MI 2	92.5	7	L	4-	10		0.000
4/08	DETROIT CATHOLIC CENT (11-8)	MI 1	92.7	6	L	5-	13		0.000
4/10	NOVI (15-3)	MI 1	92.3	9	L	4-	16		-0.025
4/16	ANN ARBOR HURON (10-8)	MI 1	89.7		L	3-	8		-0.125
4/17	at Hartland (6-11)	MI 1	81.1		W	9-	8		0.200
4/21	BRIGHTON (11-6)	MI 1	88.5		L	5-	12		-0.200
4/24	WALLED LAKE CENTRAL (2-14)	MI 1	74.8		W	14-	2		0.000
4/26	SALINE (14-5)	MI 1	91.3		L	5-	8		-0.125
4/28	at South Lyon (14-3)	MI 1	89.7		L	4-	10		-0.100
5/01	at Plymouth (8-11)	MI 1	81.2		W	9-	7		0.225
5/03	at Flint Powers (14-6)	MI 2	91.1		L	4-	13		0.000
5/06	HOWELL (4-11)	MI 1	80.6		W	10-	5		0.125
5/08	at Canton (13-6)	MI 1	88.7		L	0-	6		-0.125
5/10	at Farmington (12-6)	MI 2	88.9		L	5-	7		-0.125
5/13	at Salem (3-16)	MI 1	74.9		W	10-	4		0.025
5/15	at Walled Lake Northern (13-6)	MI 1	86.0		L	5-	10		-0.175
5/17	FOREST HILLS CENTRAL (18-4)	MI 2	93.7	5	L	0-	18		0.000
5/19	PLYMOUTH (8-11)	MI 1	81.2		W	16-	8		0.150
5/21	at Ann Arbor Pioneer (16-5)	MI 1	94.8	3	L	1-	17		0.000
			77.8						-0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Cranbrook	4-	10	-6	-12	++	1.42	5.74
4/08	H	Detroit Catholic Cent	5-	13	-8	-11	+	-1.42	2.96
4/10	H	Novi	4-	16	-12	-9	–	-1.42	-2.93
4/16	H	Ann Arbor Huron	3-	8	-5	-5		-1.42	-0.16
4/17	A	Hartland	9-	8	1	2		1.42	-1.02
4/21	H	Brighton	5-	12	-7	-2	––	-1.42	-4.91
4/24	H	Walled Lake Central	14-	2	12	12		-1.42	0.37
4/26	H	Saline	5-	8	-3	-5	+	-1.42	2.34
4/28	A	South Lyon	4-	10	-6	-6		1.42	0.36
5/01	A	Plymouth	9-	7	2	1		1.42	0.86
5/03	A	Flint Powers	4-	13	-9	-10		1.42	0.81
5/06	H	Howell	10-	5	5	5		-1.42	0.12
5/08	A	Canton	0-	6	-6	-5		1.42	-1.20
5/10	A	Farmington	5-	7	-2	-5	+	1.42	3.42
5/13	A	Salem	10-	4	6	9	–	1.42	-3.46
5/15	A	Walled Lake Northern	5-	10	-5	-3	–	1.42	-2.14
5/17	H	Forest Hills Central	0-	18	-18	-12	––	-1.42	-5.89
5/19	H	Plymouth	16-	8	8	4	++	-1.42	4.01
5/21	A	Ann Arbor Pioneer	1-	17	-16	-17		1.42	0.71
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Novi	4-	16	2.00
4/24	H	Walled Lake Central	14-	2	-0.37
5/17	H	Forest Hills Central	0-	18	5.89
5/21	A	Ann Arbor Pioneer	1-	17	-0.71
10-goal correction: 0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1622
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.97		Natl Power Rank	1622
Natl SOS Rating	63.80		Natl SOS Rank	2095
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	1976
W-L Pct Rating	0.32		W-L Pct Rank	2040
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7


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