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North Tonawanda Lumberjacks (3-11)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Derrick Rose

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/07WILSON (1-15)NY C Sec 676.9W9- 8ot0.200  
4/10CLARENCE (12-8)NY A Sec 691.610L1-21 0.000  
4/22at Frontier (13-6)NY A Sec 695.76L2- 9 0.000  
4/23ST JOSEPH COLLEGIATE (5-13)NY P Sec 684.5L0-14 0.000  
4/24WEST SENECA WEST (5-13)NY A Sec 683.7L2-10 -0.050  
4/29at Jamestown (2-15)NY A Sec 675.2W10- 4 0.250  
5/01GOW SCHOOL (8-5)NY I Sec 678.0W6- 4 0.225  
5/02LANCASTER (8-7)NY A Sec 688.6L3-15 0.000  
5/06at Orchard Park (19-3)NY A Sec 698.71L0-25 0.000  
5/07WILLIAMSVILLE EAST (12-6)NY B Sec 692.69L1-13 0.000  
5/09NIAGARA WHEATFIELD (15-6)NY A Sec 696.73L1-25 0.000  
5/14at Lockport (7-12)NY A Sec 684.3L2-14 0.000  
5/19WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (8-10)NY A Sec 688.4L3-15 0.000  
5/27at West Seneca West (5-13)NY A Sec 683.7L6-14 0.000  
 85.2     0.62  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/07HWilson9-81   2       -0.89       -0.83
4/10HClarence1-21-20   -13       –––-0.89       -7.08
4/22AFrontier2-9-7   -18       +++0.89       11.20
4/23HSt Joseph Collegiate0-14-14   -10       ––-0.89       -4.43
4/24HWest Seneca West2-10-8   -8       -0.89       -0.14
4/29AJamestown10-46   0       ++0.89       5.91
5/01HGow School6-42   1       -0.73       0.56
5/02HLancaster3-15-12   -11       -0.89       -1.11
5/06AOrchard Park0-25-25   -25       0.89       0.36
5/07HWilliamsville East1-13-12   -14       -0.89       1.66
5/09HNiagara Wheatfield1-25-24   -20       –-0.89       -3.89
5/14ALockport2-14-12   -10       –0.89       -2.08
5/19HWilliamsville North3-15-12   -11       -0.89       -1.20
5/27AWest Seneca West6-14-8   -10       0.89       1.64
         0.000.56

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/10HClarence1-217.08
4/23HSt Joseph Collegiate0-144.00
5/02HLancaster3-151.11
5/06AOrchard Park0-25-0.36
5/07HWilliamsville East1-13-1.66
5/09HNiagara Wheatfield1-253.89
5/14ALockport2-142.00
5/19HWilliamsville North3-151.20
10-goal correction: 1.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 78.   Natl CCR Rank 1975
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.74   Natl Power Rank 1975
Natl SOS Rating 77.16   Natl SOS Rank 749
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.62   Natl Quality Win Rank 506
W-L Pct Rating 0.21   W-L Pct Rank 2326
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 3-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -10.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -24.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -17.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -15.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -10.7



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