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Nutley Raiders (7-11)

Conference: Rizk

Region: NJ Grp-II

State: NJ

Coach: Brad Zulauf

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	BLAIR ACADEMY (2-16)	NJ Private	78.5		W	7-	1		0.100
4/03	at Cranford (15-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.1		L	4-	10		-0.050
4/05	at West Essex Regional (8-8)	NJ Grp-I	96.4		L	3-	15		-0.025
4/07	WAYNE VALLEY (10-9)	NJ Grp-II	88.3		W	11-	6		0.200
4/12	at Montclair Kim Acad (9-10)	NJ Grp-B	90.4		L	2-	9		-0.175
4/15	MONTVILLE (12-8)	NJ Grp-II	92.8		L	8-	11		-0.200
4/22	at Paramus Catholic (3-13)	NJ Grp-A	72.3		W	9-	1		0.075
4/23	SPARTA (13-5)	NJ Grp-II	96.2		L	5-	12		-0.125
4/27	at Montclair Kim Acad (9-10)	NJ Grp-B	90.4		L	5-	6	ot	-0.175
4/29	at Fair Lawn (16-6)	NJ Grp-III	95.1		L	11-	14		-0.100
5/01	at Millburn (8-11)	NJ Grp-II	86.8		L	7-	9		-0.250
5/03	at Pascack Valley (6-10)	NJ Grp-III	87.3		W	9-	8		0.275
5/05	at Bergen Tech (0-15)	NJ Grp-IV	68.8		W	13-	2		0.025
5/07	at St Joseph Montvale (4-15)	NJ Grp-B	78.9		W	15-	3		0.150
5/08	BOONTON (5-12)	NJ Grp-I	86.6		L	5-	6		-0.275
5/10	WEST ORANGE (0-15)	NJ Grp-IV	64.9		W	14-	1		0.000
5/12	JEFFERSON TWP (18-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.4		L	3-	13		-0.075
5/22	CLIFTON (6-9)	NJ Grp-IV	84.4		L	5-	6		-0.350
			78.7						-0.98

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Blair Academy	7-	1	6	6		-1.37	-0.35
4/03	A	Cranford	4-	10	-6	-8	+	1.37	2.33
4/05	A	West Essex Regional	3-	15	-12	-9	–	1.37	-2.54
4/07	H	Wayne Valley	11-	6	5	2	+	-1.37	2.72
4/12	A	Montclair Kim Acad	2-	9	-7	-3	––	1.37	-4.10
4/15	H	Montville	8-	11	-3	-2		-1.37	-1.06
4/22	A	Paramus Catholic	9-	1	8	7		1.37	0.99
4/23	H	Sparta	5-	12	-7	-5	–	-1.37	-2.49
4/27	A	Montclair Kim Acad	5-	6	-1	-3		1.37	1.90
4/29	A	Fair Lawn	11-	14	-3	-6	+	1.37	3.05
5/01	A	Millburn	7-	9	-2	0		1.37	-1.81
5/03	A	Pascack Valley	9-	8	1	-1	+	1.37	2.40
5/05	A	Bergen Tech	13-	2	11	9	+	1.37	2.07
5/07	A	St Joseph Montvale	15-	3	12	4	+++	1.37	8.08
5/08	H	Boonton	5-	6	-1	1	–	-1.37	-2.01
5/10	H	West Orange	14-	1	13	15		-1.37	-1.64
5/12	H	Jefferson Twp	3-	13	-10	-7	–	-1.37	-2.56
5/22	H	Clifton	5-	6	-1	4	––	-1.37	-5.00
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	A	West Essex Regional	3-	15	2.00
5/05	A	Bergen Tech	13-	2	-1.00
5/07	A	St Joseph Montvale	15-	3	-2.00
5/10	H	West Orange	14-	1	1.64
5/12	H	Jefferson Twp	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1050
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.43		Natl Power Rank	1050
Natl SOS Rating	64.90		Natl SOS Rank	1996
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.98		Natl Quality Win Rank	2779
W-L Pct Rating	0.39		W-L Pct Rank	1808
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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