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New Canaan Rams (14-7)

Conference: FCIAC

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Alex Whitten

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	FAIRFIELD-LUDLOWE (10-7)	CT M	91.1		W	5-	3		0.050
4/05	at Greenwich HS (18-3)	CT L	97.1	4	L	7-	12		-0.150
4/08	STAPLES-WESTPORT (6-10)	CT L	87.8		W	10-	3		0.025
4/12	at Darien (22-1)	CT M	99.3	1	L	6-	7		-0.050
4/14	at Fairfield-Warde (6-10)	CT M	85.1		W	13-	5		0.000
4/16	LAWRENCEVILLE (17-2)	NJ Private	99.6		L	3-	13		-0.175
4/18	TRUMBULL (9-9)	CT L	90.4		W	17-	8		0.025
4/22	BRIEN MCMAHON-NORWALK (10-8)	CT M	94.1		W	13-	8		0.125
4/24	at Wilton (12-8)	CT M	95.6	7	W	4-	3		0.300
4/29	at St Joseph-Trumbull (12-8)	CT S	93.3		W	10-	7		0.175
5/02	FAIRFIELD PREP (19-4)	CT L	97.4	3	L	7-	15		-0.200
5/05	at Norwalk (8-10)	CT L	90.9		W	16-	6		0.100
5/09	at Stamford (4-11)	CT L	82.7		W	14-	2		0.000
5/10	at Glastonbury (15-5)	CT L	94.9	10	W	8-	6		0.225
5/14	at Ridgefield (19-4)	CT L	97.0	5	L	8-	9	ot	-0.175
5/15	TRINITY CATHOLIC (1-15)	CT S	77.3		W	15-	1		0.000
5/21	WILTON (12-8)	CT M	95.6	7	L	8-	15		-0.250
5/31	NEW MILFORD (11-8)	CT M	91.6		W	14-	5		0.050
6/03	at East Lyme (16-4)	CT M	94.0		W	13-	4		0.150
6/05	vs. Conard-West Hartford # (16-4)	CT M	94.5		W	17-	4		0.125
6/07	vs. Darien # (22-1)	CT M	99.3	1	L	4-	11		-0.075
# Neutral site			88.8						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Fairfield-Ludlowe	5-	3	2	8	–––	-1.20	-6.36
4/05	A	Greenwich HS	7-	12	-5	-4		1.20	-0.51
4/08	H	Staples-Westport	10-	3	7	9	–	-1.20	-2.31
4/12	A	Darien	6-	7	-1	-8	+++	1.20	7.27
4/14	A	Fairfield-Warde	13-	5	8	11	–	1.20	-3.00
4/16	H	Lawrenceville	3-	13	-10	-3	–––	-1.28		-7.26
4/18	H	Trumbull	17-	8	9	9		-1.20	0.07
4/22	H	Brien McMahon-Norwalk	13-	8	5	5		-1.20	0.35
4/24	A	Wilton	4-	3	1	-2	+	1.20	3.35
4/29	A	St Joseph-Trumbull	10-	7	3	3		1.20	-0.34
5/02	H	Fairfield Prep	7-	15	-8	-2	–––	-1.20	-6.30
5/05	A	Norwalk	16-	6	10	6	++	1.20	4.50
5/09	A	Stamford	14-	2	12	13		1.20	-0.69
5/10	A	Glastonbury	8-	6	2	1		1.20	0.86
5/14	A	Ridgefield	8-	9	-1	-3	+	1.20	2.44
5/15	H	Trinity Catholic	15-	1	14	20	–––	-1.20	-6.15
5/21	H	Wilton	8-	15	-7	0	–––	-1.20	-7.05
5/31	H	New Milford	14-	5	9	8		-1.20	1.13
6/03	A	East Lyme	13-	4	9	4	++	1.20	4.83
6/05	N	Conard-West Hartford	17-	4	13	5	+++	0.00	7.83
6/07	N	Darien	4-	11	-7	-7		0.00	0.07
									0.00	-7.26

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	H	Lawrenceville	3-	13	0.00
5/05	A	Norwalk	16-	6	0.00
5/09	A	Stamford	14-	2	0.69
5/15	H	Trinity Catholic	15-	1	6.15
6/05	N	Conard-West Hartford	17-	4	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	214
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.52		Natl Power Rank	214
Natl SOS Rating	85.00		Natl SOS Rank	245
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	902
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	676
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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