| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Anthony Gray |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/12 | at Georgetown Prep (18-3) | DC IAC | 99.1 | | L | 3- | 14 | | -0.100 |
3/26 | HERNDON (5-9) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/28 | at Fairfax (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.025 |
4/01 | WESTFIELD (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.225 |
4/07 | LANDON (18-4) | DC IAC | 98.7 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.175 |
4/10 | at Notre Dame Academy (9-9) | MD MILL | 89.3 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.150 |
4/11 | at Centreville (4-9) | VA Concord | 84.5 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | BULLIS (13-7) | DC IAC | 91.7 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.350 |
4/18 | at Robinson (8-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 6 | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.250 |
4/24 | CHANTILLY (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 3- | 9 | | -0.175 |
4/26 | at Madison (10-5) | VA Liberty | 94.2 | 4 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.225 |
5/01 | FAIRFAX (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | ROBINSON (8-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 6 | W | 5- | 2 | | 0.200 |
5/09 | vs. Chantilly # (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.150 |
5/13 | MOUNT VERNON (9-7) | VA Nationl | 86.6 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | at Langley (12-4) | VA Liberty | 95.4 | 2 | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.300 |
5/19 | vs. Annandale # (15-4) | VA Patriot | 93.4 | 7 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.150 |
5/21 | vs. Chantilly # (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.150 |
5/31 | BROAD RUN (16-3) | VA Dulles | 89.4 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.100 |
6/03 | vs. Albemarle # (18-3) | VA Comw | 92.5 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.200 |
6/07 | vs. Chantilly # (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.150 |
| # Neutral site | | 91.2 | | | | | | 0.13 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | A | Georgetown Prep | 3- | 14 | -11 | -6 | –– | 1.24 | | -5.20 |
3/26 | H | Herndon | 17- | 3 | 14 | 11 | + | -1.02 | 3.07 | |
3/28 | A | Fairfax | 15- | 4 | 11 | 9 | | 1.02 | 1.53 | |
4/01 | H | Westfield | 7- | 6 | 1 | 1 | | -1.02 | -0.16 | |
4/07 | H | Landon | 5- | 10 | -5 | -3 | – | -1.24 | | -2.00 |
4/10 | A | Notre Dame Academy | 11- | 6 | 5 | 4 | | 1.38 | | 1.18 |
4/11 | A | Centreville | 14- | 3 | 11 | 10 | | 1.02 | 1.07 | |
4/14 | H | Bullis | 5- | 9 | -4 | 4 | ––– | -1.24 | | -8.07 |
4/18 | A | Robinson | 9- | 5 | 4 | 0 | + | 1.02 | 3.94 | |
4/24 | H | Chantilly | 3- | 9 | -6 | -3 | – | -1.02 | -2.67 | |
4/26 | A | Madison | 5- | 12 | -7 | -1 | ––– | 1.02 | -6.03 | |
5/01 | H | Fairfax | 12- | 5 | 7 | 12 | –– | -1.02 | -4.52 | |
5/05 | H | Robinson | 5- | 2 | 3 | 2 | | -1.02 | 0.89 | |
5/09 | N | Chantilly | 7- | 9 | -2 | -4 | + | 0.00 | 2.35 | |
5/13 | H | Mount Vernon | 12- | 4 | 8 | 12 | –– | -1.02 | -4.18 | |
5/15 | A | Langley | 6- | 5 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.02 | 2.89 | |
5/19 | N | Annandale | 12- | 6 | 6 | 4 | + | 0.00 | 2.12 | |
5/21 | N | Chantilly | 6- | 8 | -2 | -4 | + | 0.00 | 2.35 | |
5/31 | H | Broad Run | 14- | 6 | 8 | 6 | | -1.27 | | 1.62 |
6/03 | N | Albemarle | 14- | 3 | 11 | 2 | +++ | 0.00 | | 9.00 |
6/07 | N | Chantilly | 5- | 12 | -7 | -4 | – | 0.00 | -2.65 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -3.47 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/12 | A | Georgetown Prep | 3- | 14 | 1.00 |
3/26 | H | Herndon | 17- | 3 | -3.07 |
3/28 | A | Fairfax | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/11 | A | Centreville | 14- | 3 | -1.07 |
6/03 | N | Albemarle | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.24 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 95. | | Natl CCR Rank | 274 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 94.50 | | Natl Power Rank | 274 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 89.31 | | Natl SOS Rank | 118 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.13 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1176 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.62 | | W-L Pct Rank | 868 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 9-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.0 |
| 
