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Olentangy HS Braves (15-3)

Region: OH 1 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: John Carmichael

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	TOLEDO ST JOHN'S (12-8)	OH 1 Reg 1	91.8		W	6-	3		0.175
4/02	at Westerville South (7-10)	OH 1 Reg 2	89.6		W	10-	8		0.200
4/05	at Columbus St Charles (6-10)	OH 1 Reg 2	90.4		W	7-	5		0.225
4/09	at Pickerington (9-8)	OH 4 North	85.5		W	13-	10		0.050
4/12	UPPER ARLINGTON (19-3)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.9	2	L	4-	14		-0.050
4/15	NEW ALBANY (8-9)	OH 2 Reg 3	86.0		W	12-	4		0.000
4/18	HILLIARD DARBY (2-14)	OH 1 Reg 1	87.3		W	10-	1		0.075
4/23	WATTERSON (4-14)	OH 2 Reg 3	81.8		W	14-	3		0.000
4/25	WESTERVILLE CENTRAL (8-8)	OH 1 Reg 2	86.3		W	12-	5		0.000
4/29	WESTERVILLE NORTH (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	90.4		W	9-	7		0.125
5/02	at Thomas Worthington (14-7)	OH 1 Reg 1	97.4	5	L	7-	8	2ot	-0.050
5/07	at Wellington School (8-6)	OH 2 Reg 3	84.7		W	9-	2		0.025
5/09	GAHANNA-LINCOLN (9-10)	OH 2 Reg 3	83.0		W	16-	3		0.000
5/13	at Dublin Coffman (10-8)	OH 1 Reg 1	94.5		W	8-	7	ot	0.300
5/16	at Liberty-Olentangy (3-15)	OH 1 Reg 2	86.0		W	13-	6		0.100
5/21	HILLIARD DAVIDSON (6-12)	OH 1 Reg 2	90.2		W	9-	6		0.125
5/24	WESTERVILLE NORTH (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	90.4		W	13-	11		0.125
5/28	at Thomas Worthington (14-7)	OH 1 Reg 1	97.4	5	L	3-	13		-0.050
			85.6						1.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Toledo St John's	6-	3	3	3		-1.28	-0.46
4/02	A	Westerville South	10-	8	2	2		1.28	-0.17
4/05	A	Columbus St Charles	7-	5	2	1		1.28	1.27
4/09	A	Pickerington	13-	10	3	8	––	1.50		-4.83
4/12	H	Upper Arlington	4-	14	-10	-8	–	-1.28	-2.28
4/15	H	New Albany	12-	4	8	10	–	-1.51		-2.25
4/18	H	Hilliard Darby	10-	1	9	7	+	-1.28	2.39
4/23	H	Watterson	14-	3	11	15	–	-1.51		-3.54
4/25	H	Westerville Central	12-	5	7	10	–	-1.28	-3.13
4/29	H	Westerville North	9-	7	2	5	–	-1.28	-2.61
5/02	A	Thomas Worthington	7-	8	-1	-8	+++	1.28	6.97
5/07	A	Wellington School	9-	2	7	9		1.51		-1.62
5/09	H	Gahanna-Lincoln	16-	3	13	13		-1.51		-0.28
5/13	A	Dublin Coffman	8-	7	1	-2	+	1.28	2.98
5/16	A	Liberty-Olentangy	13-	6	7	6		1.28	1.35
5/21	H	Hilliard Davidson	9-	6	3	5		-1.28	-1.67
5/24	H	Westerville North	13-	11	2	5	–	-1.28	-2.61
5/28	A	Thomas Worthington	3-	13	-10	-8	–	1.28	-2.03
									0.00	-12.52

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	H	Upper Arlington	4-	14	0.00
4/23	H	Watterson	14-	3	3.54
5/09	H	Gahanna-Lincoln	16-	3	0.28
5/28	A	Thomas Worthington	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	277
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.79		Natl Power Rank	277
Natl SOS Rating	77.67		Natl SOS Rank	698
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	121
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	188
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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