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Oviedo Lions (8-8)

Region: FL 5B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Mike Armstrong

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/05	vs. Episcopal Jacksonville # (10-7)	FL 2B Centrl	87.3		W	17-	12		0.275
2/08	SAINT EDWARDS (4-8)	FL Dist-9	59.0		W	16-	3		0.000
2/13	at Lake Mary (9-7)	FL 4B Centrl	89.0	9	L	11-	18		-0.150
2/15	FLAGLER PALM COAST (2-13)	FL 4B Centrl	76.9		W	13-	9		0.075
2/20	at Winter Springs (14-4)	FL 4B Centrl	93.2	4	L	4-	18		0.000
2/22	LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (14-5)	FL 8B Centrl	93.8	3	L	8-	14		-0.075
2/27	at Lyman (5-9)	FL 5B Centrl	82.1		W	13-	12	2ot	0.250
3/01	at Vero Beach (13-6)	FL Dist-9	75.6		W	11-	9		0.000
3/05	at Hagerty (5-9)	FL 5B Centrl	77.5		W	17-	5		0.125
3/14	LAKE BRANTLEY (17-3)	FL 5B Centrl	95.9	1	L	3-	24		0.000
3/17	at Timber Creek (11-5)	FL 8B Centrl	91.5	7	L	10-	16		-0.075
3/19	LAKE HOWELL (6-8)	FL 5B Centrl	80.6		W	17-	8		0.125
3/27	at Bishop Moore (12-6)	FL 7B Centrl	90.9	8	L	9-	16		-0.050
3/28	vs. Saint Andrews # (22-1)	FL Dist-10	98.9		L	3-	19		0.000
4/02	vs. Lyman # (5-9)	FL 5B Centrl	82.1		W	11-	9		0.200
4/04	vs. Lake Brantley # (17-3)	FL 5B Centrl	95.9	1	L	5-	24		0.000
# Neutral site			85.0						0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/05	N	Episcopal Jacksonville	17-	12	5	-1	++	0.00	5.60
2/08	H	Saint Edwards	16-	3	13	30	–––	-1.15		16.54
2/13	A	Lake Mary	11-	18	-7	-4	–	1.48	-2.55
2/15	H	Flagler Palm Coast	13-	9	4	7	–	-1.48	-3.23
2/20	A	Winter Springs	4-	18	-14	-11	–	1.48	-3.37
2/22	H	Lake Highland Prep	8-	14	-6	-7		-1.48	1.43
2/27	A	Lyman	13-	12	1	0		1.48	0.52
3/01	A	Vero Beach	11-	9	2	11	–––	1.15		-8.60
3/05	A	Hagerty	17-	5	12	5	+++	1.48	7.26
3/14	H	Lake Brantley	3-	24	-21	-13	–––	-1.48	-7.91
3/17	A	Timber Creek	10-	16	-6	-7		1.48	1.26
3/19	H	Lake Howell	17-	8	9	5	++	-1.48	4.16
3/27	A	Bishop Moore	9-	16	-7	-8		1.48	1.22
3/28	N	Saint Andrews	3-	19	-16	-12	––	0.00		-4.43
4/02	N	Lyman	11-	9	2	2		0.00	0.04
4/04	N	Lake Brantley	5-	24	-19	-15	––	0.00	-4.43
									0.00	-29.57

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/08	H	Saint Edwards	16-	3	16.54
2/20	A	Winter Springs	4-	18	3.37
3/05	A	Hagerty	17-	5	-2.00
3/14	H	Lake Brantley	3-	24	7.91
3/28	N	Saint Andrews	3-	19	4.43
4/04	N	Lake Brantley	5-	24	4.43
10-goal correction: 2.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1068
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.38		Natl Power Rank	1068
Natl SOS Rating	76.53		Natl SOS Rank	819
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	436
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1306
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-11.0


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