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Overlake Owls (11-5)

Region: WA 2 Eastsde

State: WA

Coach: Henry Valentine

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	SAMMAMISH (2-10)	WA 2 Eastsde	63.8		W	14-	3		0.025
3/14	at Kings Way Christian (6-8)	WA 2 Evergrn	71.6		W	8-	3		0.125
3/18	at Seattle Prep (17-1)	WA 2 Metro	85.8	2	L	5-	7		-0.100
3/20	EASTSIDE CATHOLIC (6-6)	WA 2 Eastsde	72.4	9	W	12-	7		0.150
3/21	HOOD RIVER (14-8)	OR Columb	91.6		L	2-	13		0.000
3/25	at Franklin (1-9)	WA 2 Metro	61.3		W	16-	6		0.000
3/27	NATHAN HALE (10-4)	WA 2 Metro	79.9	4	L	9-	11		-0.250
4/01	at Highline (1-9)	WA 2 Eastsde	59.2		W	19-	0		0.000
4/03	BLANCHET (5-5)	WA 2 Metro	72.4	10	W	14-	6		0.150
4/24	HIGHLINE (1-9)	WA 2 Eastsde	59.2		W	11-	1		0.000
4/26	WHATCOM (6-8)	WA 2 Skagit	70.6		W	7-	4		0.125
4/28	MERCER ISLAND (17-8)	WA 1 Div-1	91.1		L	2-	16		0.000
4/30	at Eastside Catholic (6-6)	WA 2 Eastsde	72.4	9	W	7-	5		0.200
5/02	at Sammamish (2-10)	WA 2 Eastsde	63.8		W	7-	6		0.075
5/09	WHATCOM (6-8)	WA 2 Skagit	70.6		W	8-	5		0.125
5/14	at Northshore-Bothell (14-4)	WA 2 Cascade	86.1	1	L	7-	14		-0.125
			78.4						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Sammamish	14-	3	11	9		-1.33	1.62
3/14	A	Kings Way Christian	8-	3	5	5		1.33	-0.02
3/18	A	Seattle Prep	5-	7	-2	-6	+	1.33	3.82
3/20	H	Eastside Catholic	12-	7	5	4		-1.33	0.72
3/21	H	Hood River	2-	13	-11	-12		-1.08		0.81
3/25	A	Franklin	16-	6	10	10		1.33	0.10
3/27	H	Nathan Hale	9-	11	-2	0	–	-1.33	-2.10
4/01	A	Highline	19-	0	19	12	+++	1.33	7.38
4/03	H	Blanchet	14-	6	8	4	+	-1.33	3.77
4/24	H	Highline	11-	1	10	14	––	-1.33	-4.27
4/26	H	Whatcom	7-	4	3	5	–	-1.33	-2.05
4/28	H	Mercer Island	2-	16	-14	-11	–	-1.19		-2.78
4/30	A	Eastside Catholic	7-	5	2	2		1.33	0.38
5/02	A	Sammamish	7-	6	1	7	––	1.33	-5.73
5/09	H	Whatcom	8-	5	3	5	–	-1.33	-2.05
5/14	A	Northshore-Bothell	7-	14	-7	-5		1.33	-1.58
									0.00	-1.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Sammamish	14-	3	-1.00
3/21	H	Hood River	2-	13	-0.81
3/25	A	Franklin	16-	6	-0.10
4/01	A	Highline	19-	0	-7.38
4/24	H	Highline	11-	1	4.27
4/28	H	Mercer Island	2-	16	2.78
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1915
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.67		Natl Power Rank	1915
Natl SOS Rating	64.81		Natl SOS Rank	2003
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	631
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	637
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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