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Palmer Trinity Falcons (8-10)

Region: FL Dist-12

State: FL

Coach: Josh Blumenthal

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/04	at Amer Heritage/Plant'n (8-8)	FL Dist-11	59.1		L	7-	8	2ot	-0.325
2/08	at Coral Shores (1-11)	FL Dist-12	49.9		W	8-	7	ot	0.125
2/12	at Miami Country Day (2-10)	FL Dist-12	61.1		L	8-	10		-0.225
2/15	CARDINAL GIBBONS (4-9)	FL Dist-11	56.2		W	9-	3		0.100
2/16	AMER HERITAGE/PLANT'N (8-8)	FL Dist-11	59.1		W	9-	7		0.125
2/20	at Gulliver Prep (12-5)	FL Dist-12	87.7	2	L	2-	18		0.000
2/22	SAINT EDWARDS (4-8)	FL Dist-9	59.1		W	7-	4		0.225
2/26	PINE CREST (11-6)	FL Dist-11	75.6	6	L	7-	14		-0.075
3/01	CARDINAL NEWMAN (13-4)	FL Dist-10	80.3	4	L	4-	13		-0.075
3/04	RANSOM EVERGLADES (9-6)	FL Dist-12	74.5	7	L	5-	11		-0.100
3/08	at St Thomas Aquinas (16-1)	FL Dist-11	81.6	3	L	0-	16		0.000
3/10	MIAMI COUNTRY DAY (2-10)	FL Dist-12	61.1		W	13-	9		0.225
3/15	CORAL SHORES (1-11)	FL Dist-12	49.9		W	8-	1		0.075
3/18	at Ransom Everglades (9-6)	FL Dist-12	74.5	7	L	2-	7		-0.075
3/26	at American Heritage/Boca (2-10)	FL Dist-10	52.4		W	13-	1		0.150
3/28	at Pope John II (7-7)	FL Dist-10	70.2	8	L	6-	11		-0.125
3/29	at Holy Trinity Episcopal (0-12)	FL Dist-9	44.8		W	14-	2		0.000
4/01	vs. Gulliver Prep # (12-5)	FL Dist-12	87.7	2	L	4-	15		0.000
# Neutral site			79.3						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/04	A	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	7-	8	-1	3	––	0.81	-4.17
2/08	A	Coral Shores	8-	7	1	5	–	0.81	-3.93
2/12	A	Miami Country Day	8-	10	-2	-1		0.81	-1.38
2/15	H	Cardinal Gibbons	9-	3	6	6		-0.81	0.33
2/16	H	Amer Heritage/Plant'n	9-	7	2	5	–	-0.81	-2.79
2/20	A	Gulliver Prep	2-	18	-16	-15		0.81	-1.39
2/22	H	Saint Edwards	7-	4	3	1		-0.81	1.75
2/26	H	Pine Crest	7-	14	-7	-7		-0.81	-0.02
3/01	H	Cardinal Newman	4-	13	-9	-7		-0.81	-1.53
3/04	H	Ransom Everglades	5-	11	-6	-6		-0.81	-0.18
3/08	A	St Thomas Aquinas	0-	16	-16	-12	––	0.81	-4.28
3/10	H	Miami Country Day	13-	9	4	1	+	-0.81	3.00
3/15	H	Coral Shores	8-	1	7	7		-0.81	0.45
3/18	A	Ransom Everglades	2-	7	-5	-7	+	0.81	2.44
3/26	A	American Heritage/Boca	13-	1	12	4	+++	0.81	8.33
3/28	A	Pope John II	6-	11	-5	-5		0.81	-0.05
3/29	A	Holy Trinity Episcopal	14-	2	12	11		0.81	0.63
4/01	N	Gulliver Prep	4-	15	-11	-14	+	0.00	2.80
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/20	A	Gulliver Prep	2-	18	1.39
3/08	A	St Thomas Aquinas	0-	16	4.28
3/26	A	American Heritage/Boca	13-	1	-2.00
3/29	A	Holy Trinity Episcopal	14-	2	-0.63
4/01	N	Gulliver Prep	4-	15	-2.80
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	63.		Natl CCR Rank	2783
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	63.33		Natl Power Rank	2783
Natl SOS Rating	67.38		Natl SOS Rank	1737
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1325
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1568
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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