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Patton-Morganton Panthers (10-5)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: John Radecsky

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/29	at West Forsyth (1-13)	NC 4A	64.5		W	9-	8	ot	0.225
3/05	at Freedom-Morganton (2-5)	NC 4A	62.3		W	12-	4		0.100
3/11	at Hickory (6-5)	NC 3A/2A	76.3		L	1-	18		-0.025
3/13	at Parkland (0-10)	NC 3A/2A	60.9		W	13-	4		0.100
3/18	at East Burke (0-3)	NC Indep	59.4		W	14-	1		0.025
4/08	at Christ School (10-5)	NC Prvate	90.8		L	1-	15		0.000
4/10	EAST BURKE (0-3)	NC Indep	59.4		W	12-	1		0.000
4/11	vs. Long Shoals # (0-1)	NC WCMLL	72.7		W	11-	4		0.250
4/17	EAST LINCOLN (0-3)	NC CHSCLC	80.1		W	13-	4		0.375
4/21	at Charlotte South Meck (0-13)	NC 4A	62.8		W	14-	3		0.150
4/23	REAGAN (6-12)	NC 3A/2A	70.2		L	11-	14		-0.275
4/25	FREEDOM-MORGANTON (2-5)	NC 4A	62.3		W	8-	1		0.025
4/29	ASHEVILLE SCHOOL (1-2)	NC Prvate	78.2		W	15-	8		0.350
5/01	at Hickory (6-5)	NC 3A/2A	76.3		L	5-	7		-0.025
5/06	at SouthWest Guilford (13-8)	NC 3A/2A	75.5		L	0-	14		-0.075
# Neutral site			73.4						1.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	West Forsyth	9-	8	1	1		1.35	-0.36
3/05	A	Freedom-Morganton	12-	4	8	6		1.35	1.62
3/11	A	Hickory	1-	18	-17	-9	–––	1.35	-8.48
3/13	A	Parkland	13-	4	9	6	+	1.35	3.15
3/18	A	East Burke	14-	1	13	9	+	1.35	3.89
4/08	A	Christ School	1-	15	-14	-19	++	1.45		5.31
4/10	H	East Burke	12-	1	11	12		-1.35	-0.80
4/11	N	Long Shoals	11-	4	7	0	+++	0.00		6.75
4/17	H	East Lincoln	13-	4	9	-5	+++	-2.17		13.98
4/21	A	Charlotte South Meck	14-	3	11	4	+++	1.35	7.03
4/23	H	Reagan	11-	14	-3	1	–	-1.35	-3.95
4/25	H	Freedom-Morganton	8-	1	7	9	–	-1.35	-2.07
4/29	H	Asheville School	15-	8	7	-4	+++	-1.45		10.80
5/01	A	Hickory	5-	7	-2	-9	+++	1.35	6.52
5/06	A	SouthWest Guilford	0-	14	-14	-7	–––	1.35	-6.55
									0.00	36.83

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	A	Hickory	1-	18	7.00
3/18	A	East Burke	14-	1	-3.00
4/08	A	Christ School	1-	15	-5.31
4/10	H	East Burke	12-	1	0.80
4/21	A	Charlotte South Meck	14-	3	-1.00
5/06	A	SouthWest Guilford	0-	14	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	2447
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.98		Natl Power Rank	2447
Natl SOS Rating	54.60		Natl SOS Rank	2673
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	270
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	720
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0

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