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Palm Beach Gardens Gators (20-0)

Region: FL SFIA-4

State: FL

Coach: Joe Gephart

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/05	W.T. DWYER (13-4)	FL SFIA-4	87.4	4	W	13-	7		0.175
2/11	DOUGLAS (16-2)	FL SFIA-2	88.9	2	W	11-	7		0.150
2/15	at Spanish River (0-13)	FL SFIA-3	63.5		W	15-	0		0.000
2/16	JUPITER CHRISTIAN (4-11)	FL SFIA-4	76.2		W	14-	4		0.000
2/19	JUPITER (9-8)	FL SFIA-4	80.4		W	13-	1		0.025
2/22	at Benjamin School (10-6)	FL SFIA-4	84.9	6	W	8-	2		0.175
2/26	at Suncoast-Riviera Beach (4-11)	FL SFIA-4	72.3		W	18-	0		0.000
3/04	JUPITER CHRISTIAN (4-11)	FL SFIA-4	76.2		W	15-	3		0.000
3/07	BENJAMIN SCHOOL (10-6)	FL SFIA-4	84.9	6	W	7-	5		0.150
3/15	SUNCOAST-RIVIERA BEACH (4-11)	FL SFIA-4	72.3		W	13-	2		0.000
3/18	at Palm Beach Central (11-6)	FL SFIA-3	80.7		W	14-	8		0.075
3/20	at Jupiter (9-8)	FL SFIA-4	80.4		W	11-	3		0.075
3/26	at W.T. Dwyer (13-4)	FL SFIA-4	87.4	4	W	9-	5		0.200
3/29	BOCA RATON (8-8)	FL SFIA-3	77.3		W	16-	3		0.000
4/01	WELLINGTON (13-5)	FL SFIA-3	81.7	10	W	17-	2		0.025
4/15	vs. Jupiter # (9-8)	FL SFIA-4	80.4		W	16-	8		0.050
4/17	vs. Benjamin School # (10-6)	FL SFIA-4	84.9	6	W	7-	5		0.175
4/22	vs. Coral Reef # (13-1)	FL SFIA-1	81.9	9	W	13-	7		0.025
4/25	vs. Douglas # (16-2)	FL SFIA-2	88.9	2	W	9-	4		0.150
4/26	vs. H.B. Plant # (15-4)	FL WFLL-A	87.7	3	W	9-	8	ot	1.200
# Neutral site			84.6						2.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/05	H	W.T. Dwyer	13-	7	6	3	+	-0.57	3.30
2/11	H	Douglas	11-	7	4	4		-0.57	-0.13
2/15	A	Spanish River	15-	0	15	21	––	0.57	-5.58
2/16	H	Jupiter Christian	14-	4	10	13	–	-0.57	-2.80
2/19	H	Jupiter	13-	1	12	9	+	-0.57	3.40
2/22	A	Benjamin School	8-	2	6	3	+	0.57	3.10
2/26	A	Suncoast-Riviera Beach	18-	0	18	15	+	0.57	3.33
3/04	H	Jupiter Christian	15-	3	12	13		-0.57	-0.80
3/07	H	Benjamin School	7-	5	2	4	–	-0.57	-2.05
3/15	H	Suncoast-Riviera Beach	13-	2	11	16	––	-0.57	-4.82
3/18	A	Palm Beach Central	14-	8	6	7		0.57	-1.35
3/20	A	Jupiter	11-	3	8	7		0.57	0.55
3/26	A	W.T. Dwyer	9-	5	4	2	+	0.57	2.45
3/29	H	Boca Raton	16-	3	13	13		-0.57	-0.10
4/01	H	Wellington	17-	2	15	9	++	-0.57	5.76
4/15	N	Jupiter	16-	8	8	8		0.00	-0.03
4/17	N	Benjamin School	7-	5	2	3		0.00	-1.47
4/22	N	Coral Reef	13-	7	6	9	–	0.00	-3.30
4/25	N	Douglas	9-	4	5	4		0.00	1.44
4/26	N	H.B. Plant	9-	8	1	2		0.00	-0.90
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/15	A	Spanish River	15-	0	5.58
2/16	H	Jupiter Christian	14-	4	2.80
2/19	H	Jupiter	13-	1	-2.00
2/26	A	Suncoast-Riviera Beach	18-	0	-3.33
3/04	H	Jupiter Christian	15-	3	0.80
3/15	H	Suncoast-Riviera Beach	13-	2	4.82
3/29	H	Boca Raton	16-	3	0.10
4/01	H	Wellington	17-	2	-5.00
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	440
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.85		Natl Power Rank	440
Natl SOS Rating	75.50		Natl SOS Rank	908
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	12
W-L Pct Rating	1.00		W-L Pct Rank	5
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-0		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	5-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	15-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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