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Pennsbury Falcons (13-7)

Region: PA SubNat

State: PA

Coach: Dean Curtis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	at Council Rock South (6-14)	PA SubCont	89.4		W	12-	9		0.150
3/26	at Plymouth-Whitemarsh (13-4)	PA SubAmer	92.7		W	7-	6	ot	0.250
3/28	CENTRAL BUCKS SOUTH (9-11)	PA SubNat	91.6		L	4-	8		-0.325
3/31	at Truman (3-15)	PA SubNat	87.4		W	16-	6		0.000
4/02	WEST CHESTER EAST (11-9)	PA Suburb	93.4		W	8-	4		0.250
4/11	NESHAMINY (11-7)	PA SubNat	93.0		W	6-	5		0.225
4/15	PENNRIDGE (6-14)	PA SubNat	89.3		W	11-	4		0.075
4/16	CONWELL EGAN (7-8)	PA Cathol	89.9		W	13-	2		0.100
4/18	NORTH PENN (7-10)	PA SubNat	91.6		L	8-	9	ot	-0.325
4/21	ABINGTON (16-6)	PA SubNat	96.7		L	5-	11		-0.125
4/22	at Central Bucks South (9-11)	PA SubNat	91.6		W	13-	9		0.225
4/24	TRUMAN (3-15)	PA SubNat	87.4		W	11-	3		0.000
4/26	at West Chester Henderson (9-9)	PA Suburb	94.0		L	10-	11	ot	-0.175
5/03	at Holy Ghost Prep (12-7)	PA Noeast	92.8		L	5-	7		-0.225
5/06	at Neshaminy (11-7)	PA SubNat	93.0		L	6-	8		-0.225
5/10	NOTRE DAME-TRENTON (4-12)	NJ Grp-A	88.8		W	6-	5	ot	0.100
5/12	at Pennridge (6-14)	PA SubNat	89.3		W	14-	4		0.150
5/13	at North Penn (7-10)	PA SubNat	91.6		W	8-	7	ot	0.225
5/14	COUNCIL ROCK NORTH (11-7)	PA SubCont	92.8		W	8-	7	ot	0.200
5/17	at Abington (16-6)	PA SubNat	96.7		L	5-	13		-0.075
			83.5						0.48

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Council Rock South	12-	9	3	4		1.27	-0.71
3/26	A	Plymouth-Whitemarsh	7-	6	1	0		1.27	0.64
3/28	H	Central Bucks South	4-	8	-4	3	–––	-1.27	-7.06
3/31	A	Truman	16-	6	10	10		1.27	0.42
4/02	H	West Chester East	8-	4	4	0	+	-1.27	3.79
4/11	H	Neshaminy	6-	5	1	1		-1.27	-0.19
4/15	H	Pennridge	11-	4	7	7		-1.27	-0.01
4/16	H	Conwell Egan	13-	2	11	6	++	-1.27	4.82
4/18	H	North Penn	8-	9	-1	3	––	-1.27	-4.23
4/21	H	Abington	5-	11	-6	-5		-1.27	-1.18
4/22	A	Central Bucks South	13-	9	4	1	+	1.27	3.47
4/24	H	Truman	11-	3	8	12	––	-1.27	-4.11
4/26	A	West Chester Henderson	10-	11	-1	-3	+	1.27	2.14
5/03	A	Holy Ghost Prep	5-	7	-2	-1		1.27	-1.28
5/06	A	Neshaminy	6-	8	-2	-1		1.27	-0.66
5/10	H	Notre Dame-Trenton	6-	5	1	6	––	-1.32		-5.01
5/12	A	Pennridge	14-	4	10	4	++	1.27	5.52
5/13	A	North Penn	8-	7	1	1		1.27	0.30
5/14	H	Council Rock North	8-	7	1	2		-1.27	-1.02
5/17	A	Abington	5-	13	-8	-7		1.27	-0.65
									0.00	-5.01

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Truman	16-	6	-0.42
4/16	H	Conwell Egan	13-	2	-1.00
5/12	A	Pennridge	14-	4	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	390
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.47		Natl Power Rank	390
Natl SOS Rating	73.39		Natl SOS Rank	1114
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.48		Natl Quality Win Rank	649
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	767
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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