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Panther Creek Catamounts (5-13)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Kenny Batch

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/03	at Durham Jordan (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		L	7-	16		0.000
3/06	at Carrboro (3-13)	NC 3A/2A	68.2		W	11-	7		0.175
3/11	HILLSBOROUGH ORANGE (1-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.0		W	9-	2		0.075
3/13	W.G. ENLOE (5-13)	NC 4A	74.6		L	3-	7		-0.250
3/14	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRISTN (7-10)	MD B MIAA	81.7		L	2-	14		-0.075
3/18	at Cary HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	5-	14		0.000
3/20	APEX (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	0-	13		0.000
3/22	at Triton (7-9)	NC 3A/2A	74.7		W	6-	4		0.300
3/25	at Athens Drive (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		L	6-	7		-0.150
3/27	at Millbrook (1-10)	NC Indep	67.2		W	9-	8		0.175
3/29	at Wilmington Ashley (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2			-
4/11	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		L	3-	12		-0.100
4/16	GREEN HOPE (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		L	3-	17		-0.050
4/18	CARY HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	1-	15		-0.050
4/22	at Apex (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	2-	13		0.000
4/23	TRITON (7-9)	NC 3A/2A	74.7		W	8-	7	ot	0.225
4/25	ATHENS DRIVE (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		L	5-	8		-0.225
4/29	at Green Hope (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		L	4-	15		0.000
5/02	at Cary-Middle Creek (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		L	5-	11		-0.025
			82.5						0.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/03	A	Durham Jordan	7-	16	-9	-13	+	1.35	3.72
3/06	A	Carrboro	11-	7	4	3		1.35	1.35
3/11	H	Hillsborough Orange	9-	2	7	7		-1.35	0.06
3/13	H	W.G. Enloe	3-	7	-4	0	––	-1.35	-4.03
3/14	H	Annapolis Area Christn	2-	14	-12	-7	––	-1.37		-5.32
3/18	A	Cary HS	5-	14	-9	-11		1.35	1.95
3/20	H	Apex	0-	13	-13	-13		-1.35	0.37
3/22	A	Triton	6-	4	2	-2	+	1.35	3.60
3/25	A	Athens Drive	6-	7	-1	-4	+	1.35	3.06
3/27	A	Millbrook	9-	8	1	3	–	1.35	-2.16
4/11	H	Cary-Middle Creek	3-	12	-9	-6	–	-1.35	-2.63
4/16	H	Green Hope	3-	17	-14	-8	––	-1.35	-5.82
4/18	H	Cary HS	1-	15	-14	-8	––	-1.35	-5.74
4/22	A	Apex	2-	13	-11	-16	++	1.35	5.06
4/23	H	Triton	8-	7	1	1		-1.35	-0.09
4/25	H	Athens Drive	5-	8	-3	-1		-1.35	-1.63
4/29	A	Green Hope	4-	15	-11	-11		1.35	-0.13
5/02	A	Cary-Middle Creek	5-	11	-6	-9	+	1.35	3.06
									0.00	-5.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	Annapolis Area Christn	2-	14	2.00
3/20	H	Apex	0-	13	-0.37
4/16	H	Green Hope	3-	17	4.00
4/18	H	Cary HS	1-	15	4.00
4/22	A	Apex	2-	13	-5.06
4/29	A	Green Hope	4-	15	0.13
10-goal correction: 0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	2360
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.64		Natl Power Rank	2360
Natl SOS Rating	72.22		Natl SOS Rank	1259
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.03		Natl Quality Win Rank	1365
W-L Pct Rating	0.28		W-L Pct Rank	2177
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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