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Penncrest Lions (11-10)

Region: PA Centrl

State: PA

Coach: Wayne Matsinger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	EPISCOPAL ACADEMY (14-12)	PA IAC	96.6		L	6-	10		-0.225
3/22	DOWNINGTOWN WEST (9-12)	PA Suburb	94.3		W	11-	6		0.200
3/26	at West Chester Rustin (6-13)	PA Suburb	90.7		W	8-	2		0.100
3/28	at West Chester Henderson (9-9)	PA Suburb	94.0		W	14-	11		0.200
4/01	at Unionville (11-10)	PA Suburb	94.9		L	6-	7	ot	-0.250
4/03	SPRINGFIELD-DELCO (16-6)	PA Centrl	97.2	6	L	4-	6		-0.225
4/07	ARCHBISHOP WOOD (17-7)	PA Cathol	96.1		W	10-	9	3ot	0.250
4/08	at Harriton (5-14)	PA DelVal	90.5		W	9-	5		0.075
4/10	MARPLE NEWTOWN (8-12)	PA Centrl	91.7		W	17-	3		0.025
4/15	at Radnor (11-11)	PA Centrl	95.9		L	4-	11		-0.200
4/17	GARNET VALLEY (16-7)	PA DelVal	96.4		L	6-	7		-0.250
4/22	at Conestoga (14-8)	PA Centrl	96.9		L	3-	10		-0.150
4/24	UPPER DARBY (8-11)	PA Centrl	91.8		W	10-	1		0.050
4/26	at Cardinal O'Hara (7-15)	PA Cathol	89.1		W	12-	2		0.000
4/29	at Haverford HS (9-9)	PA Centrl	93.2		W	8-	3		0.175
5/01	RIDLEY (19-3)	PA Centrl	97.8	4	L	5-	6	ot	-0.200
5/06	at Lower Merion (17-5)	PA Centrl	97.0	9	L	5-	10		-0.175
5/07	PENN CHARTER (16-12)	PA IAC	97.1	8	L	9-	12		-0.225
5/13	STRATH HAVEN (13-8)	PA Centrl	96.2		W	8-	7	2ot	0.200
5/20	at Emmaus (16-3)	PA PVLL-LV	97.0		W	12-	6		0.300
5/23	at Ridley (19-3)	PA Centrl	97.8	4	L	2-	7		-0.125
			89.1						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Episcopal Academy	6-	10	-4	-1	–	-1.27	-2.60
3/22	H	Downingtown West	11-	6	5	2	+	-1.27	2.83
3/26	A	West Chester Rustin	8-	2	6	6		1.27	-0.42
3/28	A	West Chester Henderson	14-	11	3	2		1.27	1.28
4/01	A	Unionville	6-	7	-1	0		1.27	-1.23
4/03	H	Springfield-Delco	4-	6	-2	-1		-1.27	-1.08
4/07	H	Archbishop Wood	10-	9	1	0		-1.27	0.87
4/08	A	Harriton	9-	5	4	7	–	1.27	-2.55
4/10	H	Marple Newtown	17-	3	14	9	++	-1.27	5.33
4/15	A	Radnor	4-	11	-7	-2	––	1.27	-5.34
4/17	H	Garnet Valley	6-	7	-1	0		-1.27	-0.93
4/22	A	Conestoga	3-	10	-7	-4	–	1.27	-3.11
4/24	H	Upper Darby	10-	1	9	8		-1.27	1.07
4/26	A	Cardinal O'Hara	12-	2	10	10		1.27	-0.21
4/29	A	Haverford HS	8-	3	5	3		1.27	1.86
5/01	H	Ridley	5-	6	-1	-2		-1.27	1.48
5/06	A	Lower Merion	5-	10	-5	-3		1.27	-1.98
5/07	H	Penn Charter	9-	12	-3	-1		-1.27	-1.62
5/13	H	Strath Haven	8-	7	1	2		-1.27	-1.27
5/20	A	Emmaus	12-	6	6	-2	+++	1.27	7.61
5/23	A	Ridley	2-	7	-5	-5		1.27	0.02
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Marple Newtown	17-	3	-4.00
4/26	A	Cardinal O'Hara	12-	2	0.21
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	206
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.68		Natl Power Rank	206
Natl SOS Rating	84.72		Natl SOS Rank	256
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2251
W-L Pct Rating	0.52		W-L Pct Rank	1282
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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