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Penn Yan Mustangs (14-8)

Region: NY C Sec 5State: NYCoach: Brian Hobart

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/01at Mynderse Academy (4-13)NY C Sec 578.6W13- 0 0.000  
4/04GENEVA (16-5)NY B Sec 595.55W9- 8ot0.175  
4/08at Victor (7-12)NY B Sec 587.4W17- 4 0.025  
4/10at Newark (7-12)NY B Sec 581.1W20- 3 0.000  
4/12vs. Carthage # (21-3)NY B Sec 399.0L6-16 -0.150  
4/15vs. Webster Schroeder # (9-9)NY A Sec 594.77W8- 72ot0.225  
4/17at Fairport (9-9)NY A Sec 593.58L7-10 -0.250  
4/22CANANDAIGUA (23-1)NY A Sec 599.11L4- 5 -0.225  
4/25HAMBURG (21-2)NY B Sec 698.6L9-12 -0.200  
4/29PALMYRA-MACEDON (7-13)NY C Sec 579.5W18- 3 0.000  
5/01at Geneva (16-5)NY B Sec 595.55L6- 8 -0.250  
5/08WATERLOO (6-13)NY C Sec 580.4W23- 2 0.000  
5/10at Lafayette (19-2)NY C Sec 398.2L8-16 -0.150  
5/12VICTOR (7-12)NY B Sec 587.4W18- 4 0.000  
5/14vs. Williamsville North # (8-10)NY A Sec 688.2W8- 0 0.075  
5/20LIVONIA (13-8)NY C Sec 589.0W20- 4 0.000  
5/22at Canandaigua (23-1)NY A Sec 599.11L7- 9 -0.150  
5/30PALMYRA-MACEDON (7-13)NY C Sec 579.5W21- 2 0.000  
6/03vs. Midlakes # (9-11)NY C Sec 581.5W18- 3 0.000  
6/06vs. Livonia # (13-8)NY C Sec 589.0W17- 5 0.000  
6/10vs. Salamanca # (17-3)NY C Sec 693.5W18- 2 0.200  
6/12vs. Corning East # (18-5)NY C Sec 499.0L5- 9 -0.150  
# Neutral site 89.0     -0.83  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01AMynderse Academy13-013   17       1.49       -3.96
4/04HGeneva9-81   3       -1.49       -2.10
4/08AVictor17-413   9       ++1.49       4.43
4/10ANewark20-317   16       1.49       1.37
4/12NCarthage6-16-10   -4       –––0.00       -6.01
4/15NWebster Schroeder8-71   1       0.00       0.46
4/17AFairport7-10-3   0       1.49       -3.38
4/22HCanandaigua4-5-1   -1       -1.49       -0.45
4/25HHamburg9-12-3   -2       -1.19       -0.64
4/29HPalmyra-Macedon18-315   20       ––-1.49       -4.87
5/01AGeneva6-8-2   0       1.49       -2.13
5/08HWaterloo23-221   19       -1.49       1.77
5/10ALafayette8-16-8   -4       1.28       -3.52
5/12HVictor18-414   12       +-1.49       2.45
5/14NWilliamsville North8-08   7       0.00       1.14
5/20HLivonia20-416   12       ++-1.49       4.47
5/22ACanandaigua7-9-2   -4       1.49       1.53
5/30HPalmyra-Macedon21-219   20       -1.49       -0.87
6/03NMidlakes18-315   16       0.00       -0.68
6/06NLivonia17-512   10       0.00       1.96
6/10NSalamanca18-216   2       +++0.00       14.40
6/12NCorning East5-9-4   -4       0.00       -0.06
         0.005.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01AMynderse Academy13-03.96
4/08AVictor17-4-3.00
4/10ANewark20-3-1.37
4/12NCarthage6-160.00
4/29HPalmyra-Macedon18-34.87
5/08HWaterloo23-2-1.77
5/12HVictor18-4-2.45
5/20HLivonia20-4-4.47
5/30HPalmyra-Macedon21-20.87
6/03NMidlakes18-30.68
6/06NLivonia17-5-1.96
6/10NSalamanca18-2-6.00
10-goal correction: -0.48

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 95.   Natl CCR Rank 248
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.05   Natl Power Rank 248
Natl SOS Rating 85.58   Natl SOS Rank 225
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.83   Natl Quality Win Rank 2660
W-L Pct Rating 0.64   W-L Pct Rank 820
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.0



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