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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Ponderosa Mustangs (7-7)

Region: CO Contl

State: CO

Coach: Lance Meurer

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/08	at Cherokee Trail (5-7)	CO Centenn	81.7		W	13-	8		0.225
3/13	HIGHLANDS RANCH (7-6)	CO Contl	82.8		L	5-	6	ot	-0.325
3/14	at Gateway (3-10)	CO Contl	76.9		W	10-	2		0.125
3/26	DOUGLAS COUNTY (11-7)	CO Contl	92.9	6	L	2-	13		-0.025
3/28	vs. ThunderRidge # (4-10)	CO Contl	78.1		W	13-	2		0.100
3/29	vs. Bountiful # (17-2)	UT A-North	93.0		L	7-	10		-0.025
4/02	at Rock Canyon (10-6)	CO Contl	89.6		L	3-	9		-0.025
4/04	CASTLE VIEW (2-11)	CO Contl	75.5		W	6-	4		0.000
4/07	MOUNTAIN VISTA (12-5)	CO Contl	91.2	9	L	4-	16		-0.100
4/11	at Rangeview (5-10)	CO Contl	79.8		W	10-	2		0.225
4/12	at Arapahoe (13-5)	CO Contl	93.9	5	L	1-	14		0.000
4/16	THUNDERRIDGE (4-10)	CO Contl	78.1		W	11-	6		0.050
4/18	at Highlands Ranch (7-6)	CO Contl	82.8		W	9-	7		0.275
4/25	at Chaparral (8-6)	CO Contl	84.6		L	2-	8		-0.200
# Neutral site			81.2						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	A	Cherokee Trail	13-	8	5	1	+	1.66	3.97
3/13	H	Highlands Ranch	5-	6	-1	3	–	-1.66	-3.81
3/14	A	Gateway	10-	2	8	5	+	1.66	2.68
3/26	H	Douglas County	2-	13	-11	-9		-1.66	-1.56
3/28	N	ThunderRidge	13-	2	11	6	++	0.00	4.80
3/29	N	Bountiful	7-	10	-3	-9	++	0.00		5.79
4/02	A	Rock Canyon	3-	9	-6	-9	+	1.66	3.36
4/04	H	Castle View	6-	4	2	10	–––	-1.66	-8.06
4/07	H	Mountain Vista	4-	16	-12	-6	––	-1.66	-5.63
4/11	A	Rangeview	10-	2	8	1	+++	1.66	6.89
4/12	A	Arapahoe	1-	14	-13	-15		1.66	1.85
4/16	H	ThunderRidge	11-	6	5	8	–	-1.66	-2.87
4/18	A	Highlands Ranch	9-	7	2	-1	+	1.66	2.52
4/25	A	Chaparral	2-	8	-6	-2	––	1.66	-4.15
									0.00	5.79

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Douglas County	2-	13	1.00
3/28	N	ThunderRidge	13-	2	-1.00
4/07	H	Mountain Vista	4-	16	2.00
4/12	A	Arapahoe	1-	14	-1.85
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1421
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.21		Natl Power Rank	1421
Natl SOS Rating	69.75		Natl SOS Rank	1496
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	857
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1300
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3

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