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Portage Central Mustangs (15-5)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Coach: Daniel Mills

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	at Forest Hills Eastern (12-7)	MI 2	91.1		L	7-	11		-0.100
3/31	at Lakeview (1-7)	MI 2	74.1		W	12-	2		0.000
4/02	at Mattawan (7-8)	MI 2	83.5		W	10-	5		0.225
4/17	at Portage Northern (4-12)	MI 2	78.6		W	13-	0		0.025
4/19	ANN ARBOR GREENHILLS (7-9)	MI 2	78.9		W	19-	3		0.000
4/19	GRAND HAVEN (11-8)	MI 1	85.6		W	10-	6		0.125
4/19	MIDLAND (7-9)	MI 4 Club	81.8		W	8-	1		0.025
4/22	LAKEVIEW (1-7)	MI 2	74.1		W	21-	2		0.000
4/24	MATTAWAN (7-8)	MI 2	83.5		W	9-	6		0.150
4/26	at Rockford (10-10)	MI 1	90.8		W	8-	6		0.400
4/29	at Kalamazoo United (7-10)	MI 2	78.8		W	19-	3		0.000
4/30	PORTAGE NORTHERN (4-12)	MI 2	78.6		W	15-	4		0.000
5/06	at Holland West Ottawa (8-9)	MI 1	90.1		L	11-	12		-0.150
5/08	FOREST HILLS CENTRAL (18-4)	MI 2	93.7	5	L	7-	12		-0.075
5/09	KALAMAZOO UNITED (7-10)	MI 2	78.8		W	10-	5		0.000
5/13	KALAMAZOO UNITED (7-10)	MI 2	78.8		W	8-	2		0.000
5/15	MATTAWAN (7-8)	MI 2	83.5		W	12-	11		0.150
5/16	at Forest Hills Central (18-4)	MI 2	93.7	5	L	4-	10		0.000
5/21	NORTHVIEW (8-8)	MI 2	81.7		W	12-	11		0.050
5/28	vs. Flint Powers # (14-6)	MI 2	91.1		L	4-	7		-0.150
# Neutral site			74.7						0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Forest Hills Eastern	7-	11	-4	-6	+	1.42	2.13
3/31	A	Lakeview	12-	2	10	16	––	1.42	-5.78
4/02	A	Mattawan	10-	5	5	1	+	1.42	3.68
4/17	A	Portage Northern	13-	0	13	9	+	1.42	3.66
4/19	H	Ann Arbor Greenhills	19-	3	16	15		-1.42	1.12
4/19	H	Grand Haven	10-	6	4	5		-1.42	-0.65
4/19	H	Midland	8-	1	7	9		-0.92		-1.79
4/22	H	Lakeview	21-	2	19	19		-1.42	0.38
4/24	H	Mattawan	9-	6	3	4		-1.42	-1.17
4/26	A	Rockford	8-	6	2	-6	+++	1.42	7.65
4/29	A	Kalamazoo United	19-	3	16	11	++	1.42	5.31
4/30	H	Portage Northern	15-	4	11	12		-1.42	-1.18
5/06	A	Holland West Ottawa	11-	12	-1	-4	+	1.42	3.22
5/08	H	Forest Hills Central	7-	12	-5	-7	+	-1.42	2.43
5/09	H	Kalamazoo United	10-	5	5	14	–––	-1.42	-8.54
5/13	H	Kalamazoo United	8-	2	6	14	–––	-1.42	-7.54
5/15	H	Mattawan	12-	11	1	4	–	-1.42	-3.17
5/16	A	Forest Hills Central	4-	10	-6	-10	++	1.42	4.27
5/21	H	Northview	12-	11	1	8	–––	-1.42	-6.53
5/28	N	Flint Powers	4-	7	-3	-4		0.00	0.71
									0.00	-1.79

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Lakeview	12-	2	5.78
4/17	A	Portage Northern	13-	0	-3.00
4/19	H	Ann Arbor Greenhills	19-	3	-1.12
4/22	H	Lakeview	21-	2	-0.38
4/29	A	Kalamazoo United	19-	3	-5.31
4/30	H	Portage Northern	15-	4	1.18
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	758
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.65		Natl Power Rank	758
Natl SOS Rating	58.62		Natl SOS Rank	2468
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	447
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	409
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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