| Conference: D2 | Region: CA NCLA-N | State: CA | Coach: Doug Carl |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/02 | at Rancho Cotati (5-11) | CA NCLA-N | 69.5 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.025 |
3/05 | at Santa Rosa (13-2) | CA NCLA-N | 83.9 | 5 | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.250 |
3/15 | UKIAH (2-9) | CA NCLA-N | 67.7 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/16 | MENDOCINO (1-8) | CA NCLA-N | 67.3 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/21 | CASA GRANDE (10-7) | CA NCLA-N | 78.7 | 10 | W | 12- | 10 | | 0.175 |
4/02 | at Rancho Cotati (5-11) | CA NCLA-N | 69.5 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.025 |
4/05 | at Gold Country (6-8) | CA NCLA-E | 71.2 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.025 |
4/12 | vs. West Valley # (18-0) | CA NCLA-S | 91.2 | 1 | L | 6- | 16 | | -0.075 |
4/13 | vs. Redding # (1-9) | CA NCLA-E | 65.5 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/16 | at Ukiah (2-9) | CA NCLA-N | 67.7 | | W | 22- | 7 | | 0.000 |
4/19 | SANTA ROSA (13-2) | CA NCLA-N | 83.9 | 5 | W | 12- | 11 | | 0.225 |
4/20 | PALO ALTO (THLC) (9-8) | CA NCLA-S | 78.5 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.150 |
4/27 | at Mendocino (1-8) | CA NCLA-N | 67.3 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/02 | at Casa Grande (10-7) | CA NCLA-N | 78.7 | 10 | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.175 |
5/04 | CHICO (10-4) | CA NCLA-E | 81.9 | 7 | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.175 |
5/10 | SAN JOSE (8-5) | CA NCLA-S | 80.2 | 8 | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.175 |
5/17 | vs. Santa Rosa # (13-2) | CA NCLA-N | 83.9 | 5 | W | 14- | 10 | | 0.225 |
5/18 | vs. West Valley # (18-0) | CA NCLA-S | 91.2 | 1 | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.075 |
5/24 | vs. Agoura # (13-2) | CA Conejo | 87.5 | 2 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.175 |
5/25 | vs. Newbury Park # (9-3) | CA Conejo | 85.5 | 3 | L | 12- | 15 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 80.5 | | | | | | 0.60 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/02 | A | Rancho Cotati | 14- | 8 | 6 | 9 | – | 0.34 | -3.47 | |
3/05 | A | Santa Rosa | 7- | 10 | -3 | 0 | – | 0.34 | -3.37 | |
3/15 | H | Ukiah | 15- | 1 | 14 | 11 | + | -0.34 | 2.71 | |
3/16 | H | Mendocino | 16- | 3 | 13 | 11 | + | -0.34 | 2.20 | |
3/21 | H | Casa Grande | 12- | 10 | 2 | 3 | | -0.34 | -1.46 | |
4/02 | A | Rancho Cotati | 14- | 5 | 9 | 9 | | 0.34 | -0.47 | |
4/05 | A | Gold Country | 12- | 2 | 10 | 9 | | 0.34 | 1.38 | |
4/12 | N | West Valley | 6- | 16 | -10 | -7 | – | 0.00 | -3.40 | |
4/13 | N | Redding | 11- | 4 | 7 | 11 | –– | 0.00 | -4.03 | |
4/16 | A | Ukiah | 22- | 7 | 15 | 11 | ++ | 0.34 | 4.40 | |
4/19 | H | Santa Rosa | 12- | 11 | 1 | 1 | | -0.34 | -0.05 | |
4/20 | H | Palo Alto (THLC) | 14- | 7 | 7 | 4 | + | -0.34 | 2.94 | |
4/27 | A | Mendocino | 17- | 3 | 14 | 10 | + | 0.34 | 3.88 | |
5/02 | A | Casa Grande | 7- | 6 | 1 | 3 | | 0.34 | -1.77 | |
5/04 | H | Chico | 6- | 5 | 1 | 3 | | -0.34 | -1.66 | |
5/10 | H | San Jose | 7- | 6 | 1 | 3 | | -0.34 | -1.80 | |
5/17 | N | Santa Rosa | 14- | 10 | 4 | 1 | + | 0.00 | 3.29 | |
5/18 | N | West Valley | 6- | 12 | -6 | -7 | | 0.00 | 0.60 | |
5/24 | N | Agoura | 7- | 9 | -2 | -3 | | 0.00 | 1.20 | |
5/25 | N | Newbury Park | 12- | 15 | -3 | -2 | | 0.00 | -1.10 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/15 | H | Ukiah | 15- | 1 | -2.71 |
3/16 | H | Mendocino | 16- | 3 | -2.20 |
4/05 | A | Gold Country | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
4/12 | N | West Valley | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
4/16 | A | Ukiah | 22- | 7 | -4.40 |
4/27 | A | Mendocino | 17- | 3 | -3.88 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.66 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 83. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1483 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 83.28 | | Natl Power Rank | 1483 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 68.36 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1646 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.60 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 519 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 393 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.7 |
|
