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Petaluma Trojans (15-5)

Conference: D2Region: CA NCLA-NState: CACoach: Doug Carl

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/02at Rancho Cotati (5-11)CA NCLA-N69.5W14- 8 0.025  
3/05at Santa Rosa (13-2)CA NCLA-N83.95L7-10 -0.250  
3/15UKIAH (2-9)CA NCLA-N67.7W15- 1 0.000  
3/16MENDOCINO (1-8)CA NCLA-N67.3W16- 3 0.000  
3/21CASA GRANDE (10-7)CA NCLA-N78.710W12-10 0.175  
4/02at Rancho Cotati (5-11)CA NCLA-N69.5W14- 5 0.025  
4/05at Gold Country (6-8)CA NCLA-E71.2W12- 2 0.025  
4/12vs. West Valley # (18-0)CA NCLA-S91.21L6-16 -0.075  
4/13vs. Redding # (1-9)CA NCLA-E65.5W11- 4 0.000  
4/16at Ukiah (2-9)CA NCLA-N67.7W22- 7 0.000  
4/19SANTA ROSA (13-2)CA NCLA-N83.95W12-11 0.225  
4/20PALO ALTO (THLC) (9-8)CA NCLA-S78.5W14- 7 0.150  
4/27at Mendocino (1-8)CA NCLA-N67.3W17- 3 0.000  
5/02at Casa Grande (10-7)CA NCLA-N78.710W7- 6 0.175  
5/04CHICO (10-4)CA NCLA-E81.97W6- 5 0.175  
5/10SAN JOSE (8-5)CA NCLA-S80.28W7- 6 0.175  
5/17vs. Santa Rosa # (13-2)CA NCLA-N83.95W14-10 0.225  
5/18vs. West Valley # (18-0)CA NCLA-S91.21L6-12 -0.075  
5/24vs. Agoura # (13-2)CA Conejo87.52L7- 9 -0.175  
5/25vs. Newbury Park # (9-3)CA Conejo85.53L12-15 -0.200  
# Neutral site 80.5     0.60  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/02ARancho Cotati14-86   9       –0.34       -3.47
3/05ASanta Rosa7-10-3   0       –0.34       -3.37
3/15HUkiah15-114   11       +-0.34       2.71
3/16HMendocino16-313   11       +-0.34       2.20
3/21HCasa Grande12-102   3       -0.34       -1.46
4/02ARancho Cotati14-59   9       0.34       -0.47
4/05AGold Country12-210   9       0.34       1.38
4/12NWest Valley6-16-10   -7       –0.00       -3.40
4/13NRedding11-47   11       ––0.00       -4.03
4/16AUkiah22-715   11       ++0.34       4.40
4/19HSanta Rosa12-111   1       -0.34       -0.05
4/20HPalo Alto (THLC)14-77   4       +-0.34       2.94
4/27AMendocino17-314   10       +0.34       3.88
5/02ACasa Grande7-61   3       0.34       -1.77
5/04HChico6-51   3       -0.34       -1.66
5/10HSan Jose7-61   3       -0.34       -1.80
5/17NSanta Rosa14-104   1       +0.00       3.29
5/18NWest Valley6-12-6   -7       0.00       0.60
5/24NAgoura7-9-2   -3       0.00       1.20
5/25NNewbury Park12-15-3   -2       0.00       -1.10
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/15HUkiah15-1-2.71
3/16HMendocino16-3-2.20
4/05AGold Country12-20.00
4/12NWest Valley6-160.00
4/16AUkiah22-7-4.40
4/27AMendocino17-3-3.88
10-goal correction: -0.66

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 1483
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.28   Natl Power Rank 1483
Natl SOS Rating 68.36   Natl SOS Rank 1646
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.60   Natl Quality Win Rank 519
W-L Pct Rating 0.75   W-L Pct Rank 393
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.7



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