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Quince Orchard Cougars (8-7)

Region: MD 43 North

State: MD

Coach: Mike Kowalick

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	vs. Paint Branch # (8-6)	MD 43 West	84.4		W	15-	3		0.075
3/29	vs. Bethesda/Chevy Chase # (14-3)	MD 43 West	94.3		L	5-	9		-0.225
4/02	BETHESDA/CHEVY CHASE (14-3)	MD 43 West	94.3		L	7-	9		-0.225
4/04	at Richard Montgomery (4-9)	MD 43 North	77.5		W	13-	2		0.000
4/08	at Gaithersburg (14-3)	MD 43 North	94.2		L	5-	7		-0.175
4/10	WATKINS MILL (3-13)	MD 43 North	74.5		W	21-	0		0.000
4/12	DAMASCUS (10-5)	MD 32 West	86.4		W	15-	6		0.100
4/16	at NorthWest (0-13)	MD 43 North	69.8		W	20-	2		0.000
4/18	SENECA VALLEY (6-8)	MD 32 West	81.0		W	13-	3		0.000
4/23	SHERWOOD (8-6)	MD 43 West	88.4		W	11-	6		0.150
4/25	at Walter Johnson (10-5)	MD 43 West	91.1		L	10-	13		-0.225
4/30	at Blair (8-7)	MD 43 West	81.6		W	6-	1		0.025
5/03	at Wootton (16-2)	MD 43 West	95.8	7	L	4-	11		-0.100
5/06	CHURCHILL (10-4)	MD 43 West	93.0		L	3-	9		-0.250
5/10	NORTH CARROLL (8-6)	MD 43 North	94.3		L	15-	16		-0.175
# Neutral site			81.9						-1.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	N	Paint Branch	15-	3	12	7	++	0.00	5.47
3/29	N	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	5-	9	-4	-1	–	0.00	-2.53
4/02	H	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	7-	9	-2	-1		-0.93	-1.46
4/04	A	Richard Montgomery	13-	2	11	11		0.93	-0.43
4/08	A	Gaithersburg	5-	7	-2	-3		0.93	0.61
4/10	H	Watkins Mill	21-	0	21	16	++	-0.93	4.89
4/12	H	Damascus	15-	6	9	6	+	-0.93	2.62
4/16	A	NorthWest	20-	2	18	17		0.93	0.62
4/18	H	Seneca Valley	13-	3	10	11		-0.93	-1.21
4/23	H	Sherwood	11-	6	5	4		-0.93	1.40
4/25	A	Walter Johnson	10-	13	-3	-1		0.93	-1.63
4/30	A	Blair	6-	1	5	9	–	0.93	-3.64
5/03	A	Wootton	4-	11	-7	-6		0.93	-0.84
5/06	H	Churchill	3-	9	-6	0	–––	-0.93	-6.04
5/10	H	North Carroll	15-	16	-1	-3	+	-0.93	2.18
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	N	Paint Branch	15-	3	-2.00
4/04	A	Richard Montgomery	13-	2	0.43
4/10	H	Watkins Mill	21-	0	-4.89
4/16	A	NorthWest	20-	2	-0.62
4/18	H	Seneca Valley	13-	3	1.21
10-goal correction: -0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	769
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.69		Natl Power Rank	769
Natl SOS Rating	70.88		Natl SOS Rank	1392
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	2808
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1205
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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