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Queensbury Spartans (15-3)

Region: NY A Sec 2

State: NY

Coach: Keith Ellement

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	at Greenwich-Cambridge (2-15)	NY C Sec 2	72.1		W	14-	1		0.000
4/10	at Johnstown (7-13)	NY C Sec 2	77.1		W	13-	1		0.025
4/15	SOUTH GLENS FALLS (10-9)	NY B Sec 2	80.6		W	12-	6		0.050
4/19	BETHLEHEM (2-17)	NY A Sec 2	80.2		W	12-	6		0.150
4/21	SCOTIA-GLENVILLE (12-6)	NY B Sec 2	83.0		W	11-	6		0.100
4/24	at Schuylerville (5-12)	NY C Sec 2	75.2		W	16-	2		0.000
4/29	GLENS FALLS (12-6)	NY B Sec 2	84.5		W	10-	6		0.150
5/01	COLUMBIA (11-9)	NY A Sec 2	88.1	8	W	17-	8		0.250
5/02	at Scotia-Glenville (12-6)	NY B Sec 2	83.0		W	10-	3		0.150
5/06	GREENWICH-CAMBRIDGE (2-15)	NY C Sec 2	72.1		W	14-	1		0.000
5/09	JOHNSTOWN (7-13)	NY C Sec 2	77.1		W	16-	1		0.000
5/10	at Byram Hills (14-7)	NY C Sec 1	95.8		L	7-	11		-0.100
5/13	at South Glens Falls (10-9)	NY B Sec 2	80.6		W	15-	2		0.100
5/16	at Ballston Spa (11-8)	NY A Sec 2	90.6	6	L	4-	17		-0.175
5/17	at LaSalle Institute (9-10)	NY A Sec 2	83.9		W	14-	13	ot	0.200
5/20	SCHUYLERVILLE (5-12)	NY C Sec 2	75.2		W	11-	2		0.000
5/22	at Glens Falls (12-6)	NY B Sec 2	84.5		W	10-	6		0.200
5/27	COLUMBIA (11-9)	NY A Sec 2	88.1	8	L	5-	11		-0.250
			85.4						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	A	Greenwich-Cambridge	14-	1	13	16	–	0.97	-2.52
4/10	A	Johnstown	13-	1	12	9	+	0.97	2.92
4/15	H	South Glens Falls	12-	6	6	8		-0.97	-1.64
4/19	H	Bethlehem	12-	6	6	4		-0.97	1.94
4/21	H	Scotia-Glenville	11-	6	5	6		-0.97	-1.41
4/24	A	Schuylerville	16-	2	14	12		0.97	1.66
4/29	H	Glens Falls	10-	6	4	4		-0.97	0.45
5/01	H	Columbia	17-	8	9	0	+++	-0.97	8.74
5/02	A	Scotia-Glenville	10-	3	7	4	+	0.97	2.53
5/06	H	Greenwich-Cambridge	14-	1	13	17	––	-0.97	-4.46
5/09	H	Johnstown	16-	1	15	11	+	-0.97	3.98
5/10	A	Byram Hills	7-	11	-4	-6	+	1.03		2.33
5/13	A	South Glens Falls	15-	2	13	6	+++	0.97	7.30
5/16	A	Ballston Spa	4-	17	-13	-3	–––	0.97	-9.55
5/17	A	LaSalle Institute	14-	13	1	2		0.97	-0.80
5/20	H	Schuylerville	11-	2	9	14	––	-0.97	-5.28
5/22	A	Glens Falls	10-	6	4	2	+	0.97	2.39
5/27	H	Columbia	5-	11	-6	0	–––	-0.97	-6.26
									0.00	2.33

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	A	Greenwich-Cambridge	14-	1	2.52
4/10	A	Johnstown	13-	1	-2.00
4/24	A	Schuylerville	16-	2	-1.66
5/06	H	Greenwich-Cambridge	14-	1	4.46
5/09	H	Johnstown	16-	1	-3.98
5/13	A	South Glens Falls	15-	2	-3.00
5/16	A	Ballston Spa	4-	17	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	681
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.50		Natl Power Rank	681
Natl SOS Rating	77.22		Natl SOS Rank	742
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	333
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	186
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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