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Rancho Bernardo Broncos (9-8)

Conference: D1

Region: CA North

State: CA

Coach: Bruce Seitz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/11	at Canyon Crest (12-9)	CA Coastal	90.4		W	9-	8		0.150
3/13	GROSSMONT (14-2)	CA Grosmnt	91.8	6	L	5-	7		-0.300
3/21	at Poway (13-4)	CA North	94.7	3	L	4-	13		-0.125
3/27	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (8-10)	MD A MIAA	93.8		L	4-	14		-0.200
4/03	OTAY RANCH (16-4)	CA Metro	90.0		W	14-	2		0.125
4/10	MONTE VISTA-SPG VALLEY (4-15)	CA Grosmnt	82.8		W	17-	1		0.000
4/14	at Saint Margaret's (16-3)	CA Trinity	93.9		L	4-	8		-0.175
4/15	CARLSBAD (10-8)	CA North	89.2		W	8-	4		0.100
4/18	at Fallbrook (4-16)	CA North	83.9		W	17-	2		0.000
4/22	MOUNT CARMEL (6-10)	CA North	86.8		W	15-	4		0.000
4/25	at La Costa Canyon (19-3)	CA North	97.8	1	L	4-	15		-0.025
4/29	at San Marcos (8-11)	CA North	87.4		W	14-	4		0.025
5/02	TORREY PINES (13-6)	CA North	93.4	5	L	5-	11		-0.200
5/06	at Westview (11-7)	CA North	90.3		W	15-	4		0.150
5/09	POWAY (13-4)	CA North	94.7	3	L	7-	13		-0.150
5/17	CANYON CREST (12-9)	CA Coastal	90.4		W	11-	4		0.125
5/20	at La Costa Canyon (19-3)	CA North	97.8	1	L	4-	16		-0.025
			86.6						-0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	A	Canyon Crest	9-	8	1	4	–	0.20	-3.31
3/13	H	Grossmont	5-	7	-2	2	––	-0.20	-4.02
3/21	A	Poway	4-	13	-9	-5	––	0.20	-4.42
3/27	H	Mount St Joseph	4-	14	-10	-2	–––	-0.83		-8.34
4/03	H	Otay Ranch	14-	2	12	5	+++	-0.20	6.50
4/10	H	Monte Vista-Spg Valley	17-	1	16	14	+	-0.20	2.31
4/14	A	Saint Margaret's	4-	8	-4	-3		0.70		-0.77
4/15	H	Carlsbad	8-	4	4	6	–	-0.20	-2.37
4/18	A	Fallbrook	17-	2	15	11	++	0.20	4.09
4/22	H	Mount Carmel	15-	4	11	10		-0.20	1.01
4/25	A	La Costa Canyon	4-	15	-11	-9		0.20	-1.64
4/29	A	San Marcos	14-	4	10	9		0.20	1.09
5/02	H	Torrey Pines	5-	11	-6	-2	–	-0.20	-3.61
5/06	A	Westview	15-	4	11	4	+++	0.20	6.54
5/09	H	Poway	7-	13	-6	-4		-0.20	-1.82
5/17	H	Canyon Crest	11-	4	7	5	+	-0.20	2.29
5/20	A	La Costa Canyon	4-	16	-12	-9	–	0.20	-2.64
									0.00	-9.11

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Mount St Joseph	4-	14	0.00
4/03	H	Otay Ranch	14-	2	-2.00
4/10	H	Monte Vista-Spg Valley	17-	1	-2.31
4/18	A	Fallbrook	17-	2	-4.09
4/22	H	Mount Carmel	15-	4	-1.01
4/25	A	La Costa Canyon	4-	15	1.00
4/29	A	San Marcos	14-	4	0.00
5/06	A	Westview	15-	4	-1.00
5/20	A	La Costa Canyon	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	565
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.33		Natl Power Rank	565
Natl SOS Rating	80.04		Natl SOS Rank	535
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.53		Natl Quality Win Rank	2378
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1223
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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