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Ravenscroft School Ravens (5-11)

Region: NC Prvate

State: NC

Coach: Sandy Kapatos

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/12	BROUGHTON-NEEDHAM (7-8)	NC 4A	79.3		L	3-	7		-0.375
3/14	at Greensboro Day (6-8)	NC Prvate	81.6		W	10-	7		0.250
3/18	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.8	6	L	3-	14		-0.225
3/20	at East Chapel Hill (18-5)	NC 4A	90.7		L	7-	14		-0.025
3/24	DURHAM JORDAN (10-9)	NC 4A	86.9		W	5-	4		0.300
3/28	at Charlotte Cou Day (21-7)	NC Prvate	95.2	1	L	4-	12		0.000
4/02	GREENSBORO DAY (6-8)	NC Prvate	81.6		W	5-	4	ot	0.175
4/15	at Cary HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0		L	5-	10		-0.125
4/18	PROVIDENCE DAY (13-6)	NC Prvate	93.5	2	L	7-	14		-0.050
4/22	CARY ACADEMY (9-8)	NC Prvate	83.0	9	W	11-	10	2ot	0.175
4/25	at Cape Fear Academy (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.8	6	W	8-	7		0.350
4/29	at Durham Academy (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9	4	L	2-	11		-0.050
5/02	CHARLOTTE LATIN (16-7)	NC Prvate	92.8	3	L	6-	14		-0.100
5/06	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-5)	NC Prvate	90.9	4	L	5-	8		-0.125
5/09	at Cary Academy (9-8)	NC Prvate	83.0	9	L	6-	7		-0.250
5/13	at Charlotte Cou Day (21-7)	NC Prvate	95.2	1	L	6-	14		0.000
			88.0						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Broughton-Needham	3-	7	-4	5	–––	-1.45		-9.28
3/14	A	Greensboro Day	10-	7	3	0	+	1.56	3.04
3/18	H	Cape Fear Academy	3-	14	-11	-1	–––	-1.56	-10.41
3/20	A	East Chapel Hill	7-	14	-7	-9	+	1.45		2.10
3/24	H	Durham Jordan	5-	4	1	-2	+	-1.45		3.39
3/28	A	Charlotte Cou Day	4-	12	-8	-12	++	1.56	4.42
4/02	H	Greensboro Day	5-	4	1	3	–	-1.56	-2.07
4/15	A	Cary HS	5-	10	-5	-5		1.45		0.38
4/18	H	Providence Day	7-	14	-7	-8		-1.56	0.51
4/22	H	Cary Academy	11-	10	1	3		-1.56	-1.95
4/25	A	Cape Fear Academy	8-	7	1	-4	++	1.56	4.70
4/29	A	Durham Academy	2-	11	-9	-8		1.56	-1.33
5/02	H	Charlotte Latin	6-	14	-8	-6	–	-1.56	-2.05
5/06	H	Durham Academy	5-	8	-3	-5		-1.56	1.56
5/09	A	Cary Academy	6-	7	-1	0		1.56	-0.84
5/13	A	Charlotte Cou Day	6-	14	-8	-12	++	1.56	4.42
									0.00	-3.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	H	Cape Fear Academy	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1523
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.10		Natl Power Rank	1523
Natl SOS Rating	81.51		Natl SOS Rank	422
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1502
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	2062
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0

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