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Red Hook Raiders (9-10)

Region: NY C Sec 9

State: NY

Coach: Rich Saulino

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at Monroe-Woodbury (8-8)	NY A Sec 9	76.0	8	L	10-	11	2ot	-0.100
4/10	J.S. BURKE CATHOLIC (5-11)	NY C Sec 9	67.3		W	14-	11		0.175
4/14	WARWICK VALLEY (10-9)	NY A Sec 9	79.5	6	L	4-	15		-0.025
4/17	at Saugerties (18-2)	NY B Sec 9	88.5	3	L	4-	16		0.000
4/19	at Delaware Valley (0-18)	NY C Sec 9	58.6		W	12-	5		0.075
4/21	at Washingtonville (5-11)	NY A Sec 9	68.1		L	8-	9		-0.275
4/23	at Pine Bush (14-3)	NY A Sec 9	89.3	2	L	1-	15		0.000
4/29	O'NEILL (12-5)	NY C Sec 9	77.7	7	L	11-	19		-0.150
5/01	at Wallkill (7-10)	NY B Sec 9	70.4		W	13-	11		0.275
5/05	HIGHLAND (2-13)	NY C Sec 9	60.5		W	19-	7		0.050
5/07	SAUGERTIES (18-2)	NY B Sec 9	88.5	3	L	4-	13		0.000
5/10	ROOSEVELT HYDE PARK (6-12)	NY A Sec 9	72.5	9	W	10-	9		0.275
5/13	WALLKILL (7-10)	NY B Sec 9	70.4		L	15-	16		-0.275
5/17	DELAWARE VALLEY (0-18)	NY C Sec 9	58.6		W	11-	3		0.025
5/20	at O'Neill (12-5)	NY C Sec 9	77.7	7	L	3-	16		-0.100
5/21	at Highland (2-13)	NY C Sec 9	60.5		W	13-	10		0.100
5/23	at J.S. Burke Catholic (5-11)	NY C Sec 9	67.3		W	12-	11		0.225
6/04	vs. O'Neill # (12-5)	NY C Sec 9	77.7	7	W	10-	8		0.375
6/07	vs. Rye HS # (22-3)	NY C Sec 1	98.3		L	1-	18		0.000
# Neutral site			81.4						0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Monroe-Woodbury	10-	11	-1	-6	++	0.90	5.32
4/10	H	J.S. Burke Catholic	14-	11	3	3		-0.90	0.36
4/14	H	Warwick Valley	4-	15	-11	-9		-0.90	-1.95
4/17	A	Saugerties	4-	16	-12	-11		0.90	-0.67
4/19	A	Delaware Valley	12-	5	7	7		0.90	-0.48
4/21	A	Washingtonville	8-	9	-1	1	–	0.90	-2.28
4/23	A	Pine Bush	1-	15	-14	-13		0.90	-1.27
4/29	H	O'Neill	11-	19	-8	-4	–	-0.90	-3.52
5/01	A	Wallkill	13-	11	2	-1	+	0.90	3.01
5/05	H	Highland	19-	7	12	8	++	-0.90	4.06
5/07	H	Saugerties	4-	13	-9	-10		-0.90	0.53
5/10	H	Roosevelt Hyde Park	10-	9	1	-1	+	-0.90	2.29
5/13	H	Wallkill	15-	16	-1	1		-0.90	-1.79
5/17	H	Delaware Valley	11-	3	8	9		-0.90	-1.28
5/20	A	O'Neill	3-	16	-13	-6	–––	0.90	-6.72
5/21	A	Highland	13-	10	3	6	–	0.90	-3.14
5/23	A	J.S. Burke Catholic	12-	11	1	1		0.90	0.16
6/04	N	O'Neill	10-	8	2	-5	+++	0.00	7.38
6/07	N	Rye HS	1-	18	-17	-28	+++	0.00		10.67
									0.00	10.67

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	H	Warwick Valley	4-	15	1.00
4/17	A	Saugerties	4-	16	0.67
4/23	A	Pine Bush	1-	15	1.27
5/05	H	Highland	19-	7	-2.00
5/20	A	O'Neill	3-	16	3.00
6/07	N	Rye HS	1-	18	10.67
10-goal correction: -0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	2520
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.61		Natl Power Rank	2520
Natl SOS Rating	69.99		Natl SOS Rank	1475
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	489
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1451
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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