Reagan Raiders (6-12)

Region: NC 3A/2AState: NCCoach: Sam Narayan

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/27at Ragsdale-Jamestown (7-12)NC 3A/2A71.9L3- 7 -0.125  
3/06RAGSDALE-JAMESTOWN (7-12)NC 3A/2A71.9W1- 0 0.300  
3/11at Forsyth Cou Day (7-10)NC Prvate82.5L3-12 0.000  
3/13FREEDOM-MORGANTON (2-5)NC 4A62.3W10- 3 0.025  
3/14SOUTHWEST GUILFORD (13-8)NC 3A/2A75.5L10-11 -0.150  
3/20SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (15-5)NC 3A/2A81.6L5-15 0.000  
3/25MOUNT TABOR (6-8)NC 4A79.8L1-14 0.000  
3/27R.J. REYNOLDS (9-8)NC 4A80.0L3-17 0.000  
3/28at West Forsyth (1-13)NC 4A64.5W10- 4 0.200  
4/08at SouthEast Guilford (15-5)NC 3A/2A81.6L2-21 0.000  
4/11WEST FORSYTH (1-13)NC 4A64.5W13- 2 0.150  
4/15PARKLAND (0-10)NC 3A/2A60.9W14- 0 0.025  
4/17BISHOP MCGUINNESS (7-8)NC 3A/2A75.0L6- 7 -0.150  
4/18at SouthWest Guilford (13-8)NC 3A/2A75.5L1-14 -0.075  
4/21at Bishop McGuinness (7-8)NC 3A/2A75.0L5-10 -0.075  
4/23at Patton-Morganton (10-5)NC 3A/2A73.0W14-11 0.275  
4/25at Mount Tabor (6-8)NC 4A79.8L3-14 0.000  
4/28at R.J. Reynolds (9-8)NC 4A80.0L2-22 0.000  
 77.0     0.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/27ARagsdale-Jamestown3-7-4   -5       1.35       0.92
3/11AForsyth Cou Day3-12-9   -14       ++1.45       4.71
3/13HFreedom-Morganton10-37   9       –-1.35       -2.46
3/14HSouthWest Guilford10-11-1   -4       +-1.35       3.37
3/20HSouthEast Guilford5-15-10   -10       -1.35       -0.25
3/25HMount Tabor1-14-13   -10       –-1.35       -3.40
3/27HR.J. Reynolds3-17-14   -10       ––-1.35       -4.37
3/28AWest Forsyth10-46   2       ++1.35       4.24
4/08ASouthEast Guilford2-21-19   -12       –––1.35       -6.56
4/11HWest Forsyth13-211   4       +++-1.35       6.55
4/15HParkland14-014   9       ++-1.35       5.06
4/17HBishop McGuinness6-7-1   -4       +-1.35       3.29
4/18ASouthWest Guilford1-14-13   -7       ––1.35       -5.94
4/21ABishop McGuinness5-10-5   -7       1.35       1.98
4/23APatton-Morganton14-113   -1       +1.35       3.95
4/25AMount Tabor3-14-11   -12       1.35       1.29
4/28AR.J. Reynolds2-22-20   -12       –––1.35       -7.68
         0.004.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/20HSouthEast Guilford5-150.00
3/25HMount Tabor1-143.00
3/27HR.J. Reynolds3-174.00
4/08ASouthEast Guilford2-216.56
4/11HWest Forsyth13-2-1.00
4/15HParkland14-0-4.00
4/18ASouthWest Guilford1-143.00
4/25AMount Tabor3-14-1.29
4/28AR.J. Reynolds2-227.68
10-goal correction: 1.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 69.   Natl CCR Rank 2573
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 70.21   Natl Power Rank 2573
Natl SOS Rating 62.00   Natl SOS Rank 2250
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.40   Natl Quality Win Rank 723
W-L Pct Rating 0.33   W-L Pct Rank 2011
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -14.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -9.3



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