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Ridley Green Raiders (19-3)

Region: PA Centrl

State: PA

Coach: Kevin Ellers

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	PERKIOMEN VALLEY (8-10)	PA PAC-10	90.6		W	13-	1		0.000
3/22	at Emmaus (16-3)	PA PVLL-LV	97.0		W	8-	4		0.200
3/25	at West Chester Henderson (9-9)	PA Suburb	94.0		W	8-	6		0.125
3/27	DOWNINGTOWN WEST (9-12)	PA Suburb	94.3		W	11-	4		0.100
3/29	GREAT VALLEY (13-7)	PA Suburb	95.6		W	13-	6		0.075
4/01	DOWNINGTOWN EAST (14-7)	PA Suburb	97.5	5	W	9-	6		0.250
4/04	at Radnor (11-11)	PA Centrl	95.9		L	7-	8		-0.300
4/08	CONESTOGA (14-8)	PA Centrl	96.9		W	6-	4		0.200
4/10	at Haverford HS (9-9)	PA Centrl	93.2		W	10-	2		0.075
4/12	at Cardinal O'Hara (7-15)	PA Cathol	89.1		W	17-	2		0.000
4/15	LOWER MERION (17-5)	PA Centrl	97.0	9	W	11-	5		0.175
4/17	SPRINGFIELD-DELCO (16-6)	PA Centrl	97.2	6	W	6-	2		0.175
4/22	at Marple Newtown (8-12)	PA Centrl	91.7		W	20-	3		0.000
4/24	GARNET VALLEY (16-7)	PA DelVal	96.4		W	10-	7		0.150
4/26	vs. LaSalle College HS # (31-2)	PA Cathol	99.7	1	L	4-	9		-0.200
5/01	at Penncrest (11-10)	PA Centrl	95.7		W	6-	5	ot	0.200
5/05	at Upper Darby (8-11)	PA Centrl	91.8		W	15-	8		0.025
5/06	STRATH HAVEN (13-8)	PA Centrl	96.2		W	6-	5		0.100
5/08	at Parkland (11-6)	PA PVLL-LV	94.1		W	13-	3		0.125
5/12	at Harriton (5-14)	PA DelVal	90.5		W	15-	5		0.000
5/23	PENNCREST (11-10)	PA Centrl	95.7		W	7-	2		0.125
5/28	vs. Penn Charter # (16-12)	PA IAC	97.1	8	L	5-	7		-0.275
# Neutral site			89.0						1.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Perkiomen Valley	13-	1	12	13		-1.27	-0.91
3/22	A	Emmaus	8-	4	4	2		1.27	1.86
3/25	A	West Chester Henderson	8-	6	2	5	–	1.27	-3.47
3/27	H	Downingtown West	11-	4	7	6		-1.27	1.08
3/29	H	Great Valley	13-	6	7	7		-1.27	0.34
4/01	H	Downingtown East	9-	6	3	0	+	-1.27	2.81
4/04	A	Radnor	7-	8	-1	2	–	1.27	-3.09
4/08	H	Conestoga	6-	4	2	2		-1.27	-0.39
4/10	A	Haverford HS	10-	2	8	7		1.27	1.11
4/12	A	Cardinal O'Hara	17-	2	15	14		1.27	1.04
4/15	H	Lower Merion	11-	5	6	3	+	-1.27	2.74
4/17	H	Springfield-Delco	6-	2	4	3		-1.27	1.17
4/22	A	Marple Newtown	20-	3	17	10	+++	1.27	7.11
4/24	H	Garnet Valley	10-	7	3	4		-1.27	-0.68
4/26	N	LaSalle College HS	4-	9	-5	-2	–	0.00	-3.47
5/01	A	Penncrest	6-	5	1	2		1.27	-1.48
5/05	A	Upper Darby	15-	8	7	9	–	1.27	-2.15
5/06	H	Strath Haven	6-	5	1	6	––	-1.27	-5.02
5/08	A	Parkland	13-	3	10	5	++	1.27	4.80
5/12	A	Harriton	15-	5	10	10		1.27	-0.30
5/23	H	Penncrest	7-	2	5	5		-1.27	-0.02
5/28	N	Penn Charter	5-	7	-2	1	–	0.00	-3.10
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	H	Perkiomen Valley	13-	1	0.91
4/12	A	Cardinal O'Hara	17-	2	-1.04
4/22	A	Marple Newtown	20-	3	-7.11
5/08	A	Parkland	13-	3	0.00
5/12	A	Harriton	15-	5	0.30
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	98.		Natl CCR Rank	70
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.84		Natl Power Rank	63
Natl SOS Rating	84.54		Natl SOS Rank	268
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	142
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	135
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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