| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Justin Fitzgeral |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/14 | at Lake Braddock (11-5) | VA Patriot | 90.3 | 10 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.175 |
3/22 | vs. Dulaney # (18-2) | MD 43 South | 97.8 | | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.150 |
3/25 | at Collegiate School (15-6) | VA 1 VIP | 97.1 | | L | 5- | 19 | | -0.100 |
3/26 | WOODSON (9-7) | VA Liberty | 93.4 | 8 | W | 9- | 8 | 2ot | 0.225 |
3/31 | at Chantilly (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 10- | 13 | | -0.100 |
4/08 | HERNDON (5-9) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | W | 11- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | at Westfield (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.300 |
4/15 | at Landon (18-4) | DC IAC | 98.7 | | L | 3- | 11 | | -0.100 |
4/16 | at Centreville (4-9) | VA Concord | 84.5 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.025 |
4/18 | OAKTON (13-8) | VA Concord | 94.5 | 3 | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.250 |
4/25 | FAIRFAX (4-8) | VA Concord | 85.9 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | CENTREVILLE (4-9) | VA Concord | 84.5 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | at Oakton (13-8) | VA Concord | 94.5 | 3 | L | 2- | 5 | | -0.200 |
5/13 | at Yorktown (8-10) | VA Nationl | 86.5 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.050 |
5/15 | at Annandale (15-4) | VA Patriot | 93.4 | 7 | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.300 |
| # Neutral site | | 90.4 | | | | | | -0.43 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/14 | A | Lake Braddock | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | – | 1.02 | -2.37 | |
3/22 | N | Dulaney | 3- | 8 | -5 | -4 | | 0.00 | | -0.75 |
3/25 | A | Collegiate School | 5- | 19 | -14 | -6 | ––– | 1.88 | | -8.49 |
3/26 | H | Woodson | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | -1.02 | -0.33 | |
3/31 | A | Chantilly | 10- | 13 | -3 | -6 | + | 1.02 | 3.46 | |
4/08 | H | Herndon | 11- | 1 | 10 | 10 | | -1.02 | 0.15 | |
4/10 | A | Westfield | 6- | 4 | 2 | -2 | + | 1.02 | 3.97 | |
4/15 | A | Landon | 3- | 11 | -8 | -6 | | 1.24 | | -1.53 |
4/16 | A | Centreville | 12- | 3 | 9 | 9 | | 1.02 | 0.15 | |
4/18 | H | Oakton | 5- | 9 | -4 | 0 | – | -1.02 | -3.94 | |
4/25 | H | Fairfax | 16- | 3 | 13 | 10 | + | -1.02 | 2.56 | |
5/01 | H | Centreville | 15- | 5 | 10 | 11 | | -1.02 | -0.90 | |
5/05 | A | Oakton | 2- | 5 | -3 | -2 | | 1.02 | -0.89 | |
5/13 | A | Yorktown | 15- | 6 | 9 | 8 | | 1.02 | 0.93 | |
5/15 | A | Annandale | 6- | 7 | -1 | 2 | – | 1.02 | -2.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -10.77 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/25 | A | Collegiate School | 5- | 19 | 4.00 |
4/08 | H | Herndon | 11- | 1 | -0.15 |
4/25 | H | Fairfax | 16- | 3 | -2.56 |
5/01 | H | Centreville | 15- | 5 | 0.90 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.15 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 355 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.50 | | Natl Power Rank | 355 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 86.92 | | Natl SOS Rank | 188 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.43 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2285 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1215 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
|
