High School Computer Ratings

Reservoir Gators (12-5)

Region: MD 32 South

State: MD

Coach: Bryan Cole

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/22	vs. South Hagerstown # (1-14)	MD 32 West	71.5		W	14-	0		0.000
3/22	at Smithsburg (9-6)	MD 21 West	89.1		W	7-	6		0.250
3/26	ST VINCENT PALLOTTI (6-13)	MD B MIAA	80.2		W	12-	10		0.000
3/28	at Arundel (6-7)	MD 43 East	90.9		L	4-	10		-0.200
4/01	LONG REACH (2-13)	MD 32 South	76.2		W	17-	0		0.000
4/08	OAKLAND MILLS (1-12)	MD 21 West	74.8		W	15-	1		0.000
4/09	HAMMOND (3-12)	MD 32 South	81.7		W	14-	0		0.050
4/11	at Howard (9-8)	MD 32 South	88.5		W	14-	12		0.250
4/15	at Atholton (6-7)	MD 32 South	89.7		W	9-	5		0.275
4/18	at Wilde Lake (4-9)	MD 32 South	85.5		W	6-	5		0.175
4/22	at Marriott's Ridge (12-5)	MD 21 West	94.1		L	4-	12		-0.175
4/25	CENTENNIAL (13-6)	MD 32 South	94.3		W	8-	5		0.325
4/29	RIVER HILL (7-7)	MD 32 South	91.3		L	5-	6	ot	-0.250
5/02	at Glenelg HS (18-0)	MD 21 West	96.9	4	L	6-	13		-0.075
5/10	MOUNT HEBRON (5-9)	MD 32 South	86.5		W	12-	10		0.150
5/13	LONG REACH (2-13)	MD 32 South	76.2		W	13-	3		0.000
5/14	CENTENNIAL (13-6)	MD 32 South	94.3		L	8-	14		-0.175
# Neutral site			82.5						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	South Hagerstown	14-	0	14	17	–	0.00	-2.83
3/22	A	Smithsburg	7-	6	1	0		0.93	0.57
3/26	H	St Vincent Pallotti	12-	10	2	13	–––	-1.16		-10.66
3/28	A	Arundel	4-	10	-6	-2	–	0.93	-3.62
4/01	H	Long Reach	17-	0	17	13	+	-0.93	3.71
4/08	H	Oakland Mills	15-	1	14	15		-0.93	-1.15
4/09	H	Hammond	14-	0	14	8	+++	-0.93	6.10
4/11	A	Howard	14-	12	2	0	+	0.93	2.35
4/15	A	Atholton	9-	5	4	-1	++	0.93	5.24
4/18	A	Wilde Lake	6-	5	1	3		0.93	-1.81
4/22	A	Marriott's Ridge	4-	12	-8	-3	––	0.93	-4.56
4/25	H	Centennial	8-	5	3	-3	++	-0.93	5.70
4/29	H	River Hill	5-	6	-1	0		-0.93	-0.96
5/02	A	Glenelg HS	6-	13	-7	-7		0.93	0.22
5/10	H	Mount Hebron	12-	10	2	4	–	-0.93	-2.37
5/13	H	Long Reach	13-	3	10	13	–	-0.93	-3.29
5/14	H	Centennial	8-	14	-6	-3	–	-0.93	-3.30
									0.00	-10.66