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Rutland Red Raiders (5-12)

Region: VT 1 MVLI

State: VT

Coach: Mike Rowe

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	WOODSTOCK (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6	6	L	0-	4		-0.200
4/10	SOUTH BURLINGTON (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	L	4-	8		-0.125
4/11	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	L	0-	5		-0.075
4/19	at Spaulding (10-4)	VT 1 NVAC	83.0	8	L	5-	6	ot	-0.275
4/22	BURR-BURTON ACADEMY (15-3)	VT 2 MVLI	88.2		W	6-	5	ot	0.450
4/24	HARTFORD (13-5)	VT 2 NVAC	87.4		L	6-	7	ot	-0.050
4/26	at Champlain Valley (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	L	1-	12		0.000
5/01	MT ANTHONY UNION (8-9)	VT 1 MVLI	81.6	9	L	2-	5		-0.225
5/03	BRATTLEBORO (4-12)	VT 1 MVLI	73.2		W	12-	2		0.025
5/06	at Burr-Burton Academy (15-3)	VT 2 MVLI	88.2		L	8-	11		0.000
5/08	MIDDLEBURY UNION (12-6)	VT 1 NVAC	88.2	3	L	2-	10		0.000
5/13	at Brattleboro (4-12)	VT 1 MVLI	73.2		W	15-	2		0.050
5/15	at Mt Anthony Union (8-9)	VT 1 MVLI	81.6	9	L	1-	2		-0.200
5/20	at Mount St Joseph (0-12)	VT 1 Indep	63.9		W	13-	3		0.000
5/23	OTTER VALLEY UNION (1-12)	VT 2 NVAC	73.9		W	10-	2		0.100
5/29	at Woodstock (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6	6	L	4-	11		-0.175
6/04	at Mt Mansfield Union (10-8)	VT 1 NVAC	87.0	4	L	4-	14		-0.025
			83.7						-0.72

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	H	Woodstock	0-	4	-4	-2		-0.57	-1.91
4/10	H	South Burlington	4-	8	-4	-5		-0.57	1.21
4/11	H	Bellows Free Academy	0-	5	-5	-7		-0.57	1.69
4/19	A	Spaulding	5-	6	-1	1		0.57	-1.83
4/22	H	Burr-Burton Academy	6-	5	1	-8	+++	-0.87		9.44
4/24	H	Hartford	6-	7	-1	-8	+++	-0.87		6.64
4/26	A	Champlain Valley	1-	12	-11	-11		0.57	-0.08
5/01	H	Mt Anthony Union	2-	5	-3	-1		-0.57	-1.68
5/03	H	Brattleboro	12-	2	10	9		-0.57	1.28
5/06	A	Burr-Burton Academy	8-	11	-3	-10	+++	0.87		7.18
5/08	H	Middlebury Union	2-	10	-8	-11	+	-0.57	2.50
5/13	A	Brattleboro	15-	2	13	8	++	0.57	5.41
5/15	A	Mt Anthony Union	1-	2	-1	-2		0.57	1.45
5/20	A	Mount St Joseph	13-	3	10	13	–	0.57	-3.01
5/23	H	Otter Valley Union	10-	2	8	6	+	-0.87		2.19
5/29	A	Woodstock	4-	11	-7	-3	–	0.57	-3.78
6/04	A	Mt Mansfield Union	4-	14	-10	-9		0.57	-1.27
									0.00	25.45

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/26	A	Champlain Valley	1-	12	0.08
5/03	H	Brattleboro	12-	2	0.00
5/13	A	Brattleboro	15-	2	-3.00
5/20	A	Mount St Joseph	13-	3	3.01
6/04	A	Mt Mansfield Union	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1911
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.87		Natl Power Rank	1911
Natl SOS Rating	74.46		Natl SOS Rank	1013
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.72		Natl Quality Win Rank	2575
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	2122
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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