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Sachem North Flaming Arrows (4-13)

Conference: Div IRegion: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Jay Mauro

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/25EASTPORT/SOUTH MANOR (9-8)NY B Sec 1192.7L12-19 -0.150  
3/28BAYPORT-BLUE POINT (6-11)NY C Sec 1188.7W7- 6 0.275  
4/01WARD MELVILLE (19-1)NY A Sec 1199.72L1-12 0.000  
4/03at North Babylon (3-14)NY A Sec 1186.0W14- 7 0.175  
4/05vs. Cranford # (15-4)NJ Grp-II97.1L6- 9 -0.025  
4/09WILLIAM FLOYD (11-7)NY A Sec 1197.2L2-16 -0.025  
4/15HALF HOLLOW HILLS WEST (14-4)NY A Sec 1198.76L3-16 0.000  
4/17WEST BABYLON (6-11)NY A Sec 1189.3L7-12 -0.200  
4/23NORTHPORT (8-10)NY A Sec 1194.5L12-17 -0.100  
4/25at Commack (4-13)NY A Sec 1186.9W14- 9 0.225  
4/29at Bellport (10-8)NY A Sec 1193.4L5-14 -0.125  
5/01at Smithtown West (13-7)NY A Sec 1198.49L2-15 0.000  
5/07EAST ISLIP (11-7)NY A Sec 1196.4L6-14 -0.075  
5/10at Smithtown East (12-7)NY A Sec 1197.9L4-15 0.000  
5/13LONGWOOD (5-10)NY A Sec 1187.6L11-13 -0.300  
5/15at West Islip (19-2)NY A Sec 1199.81L4-15 0.000  
5/19at Walt Whitman (10-7)NY A Sec 1191.5W13-12ot0.350  
# Neutral site 89.0     0.02  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25HEastport/South Manor12-19-7   -4       –-0.65       -2.92
3/28HBayport-Blue Point7-61   -1       +-0.65       2.39
4/01HWard Melville1-12-11   -13       +-0.65       2.38
4/03ANorth Babylon14-77   3       +0.65       3.78
4/05NCranford6-9-3   -9       +++0.00       6.14
4/09HWilliam Floyd2-16-14   -9       ––-0.65       -4.52
4/15HHalf Hollow Hills West3-16-13   -10       –-0.65       -3.01
4/17HWest Babylon7-12-5   -2       –-0.65       -2.79
4/23HNorthport12-17-5   -6       -0.65       1.17
4/25ACommack14-95   1       +0.65       4.00
4/29ABellport5-14-9   -5       –0.65       -3.80
5/01ASmithtown West2-15-13   -11       0.65       -1.93
5/07HEast Islip6-14-8   -7       -0.65       -0.82
5/10ASmithtown East4-15-11   -10       0.65       -1.05
5/13HLongwood11-13-2   2       –-0.65       -3.90
5/15AWest Islip4-15-11   -17       +++0.65       6.16
5/19AWalt Whitman13-121   -4       ++0.65       4.87
         0.006.14

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HWard Melville1-12-2.38
4/09HWilliam Floyd2-164.00
4/15HHalf Hollow Hills West3-163.00
5/01ASmithtown West2-151.93
5/10ASmithtown East4-151.00
5/15AWest Islip4-15-6.16
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 1013
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.91   Natl Power Rank 1013
Natl SOS Rating 84.65   Natl SOS Rank 260
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.02   Natl Quality Win Rank 1353
W-L Pct Rating 0.24   W-L Pct Rank 2275
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-13   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -10.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.0



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