| Region: AZ 1 South | State: AZ | Coach: Steve Noel |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/08 | at Mountain Pointe (10-5) | AZ 1 North | 87.9 | 2 | L | 5- | 8 | | -0.225 |
2/10 | vs. Bonanza # (23-0) | NV LVLL | 93.6 | | L | 5- | 13 | | -0.050 |
2/12 | DESERT MOUNTAIN (6-9) | AZ 1 North | 84.0 | 7 | W | 5- | 4 | | 0.200 |
2/14 | DESERT VISTA (3-10) | AZ 1 North | 80.1 | 8 | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.125 |
2/19 | BROPHY PREP (17-4) | AZ 1 North | 93.8 | 1 | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.150 |
2/26 | at Highland (0-13) | AZ 1 North | 73.9 | 10 | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.025 |
3/01 | at Chaparral (11-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.6 | 4 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.225 |
3/04 | at Gilbert (1-12) | AZ 1 South | 74.8 | 9 | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/07 | CHANDLER (12-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.7 | 3 | W | 12- | 11 | ot | 0.250 |
3/14 | at Corona del Sol (8-6) | AZ 1 South | 86.3 | 5 | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.275 |
3/25 | at Chandler (12-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.7 | 3 | L | 11- | 17 | | -0.225 |
4/01 | GILBERT (1-12) | AZ 1 South | 74.8 | 9 | W | 18- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/02 | ST FRANCIS XAVIER (1-2) | CN FarWest | 79.2 | | W | 13- | 11 | | 0.050 |
4/08 | CORONA DEL SOL (8-6) | AZ 1 South | 86.3 | 5 | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.225 |
4/11 | CHAPARRAL (11-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.6 | 4 | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.250 |
4/15 | at Chaparral (11-7) | AZ 1 South | 87.6 | 4 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.225 |
| # Neutral site | | 86.8 | | | | | | -0.25 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/08 | A | Mountain Pointe | 5- | 8 | -3 | -1 | – | 0.17 | -2.47 | |
2/10 | N | Bonanza | 5- | 13 | -8 | -8 | | 0.00 | | -0.40 |
2/12 | H | Desert Mountain | 5- | 4 | 1 | 2 | | -0.17 | -0.88 | |
2/14 | H | Desert Vista | 11- | 5 | 6 | 5 | | -0.17 | 1.03 | |
2/19 | H | Brophy Prep | 7- | 11 | -4 | -4 | | -0.17 | 0.24 | |
2/26 | A | Highland | 16- | 2 | 14 | 9 | ++ | 0.17 | 4.95 | |
3/01 | A | Chaparral | 9- | 11 | -2 | -1 | | 0.17 | -1.42 | |
3/04 | A | Gilbert | 11- | 2 | 9 | 10 | | 0.17 | -1.33 | |
3/07 | H | Chandler | 12- | 11 | 1 | 0 | | -0.17 | 1.47 | |
3/14 | A | Corona del Sol | 8- | 9 | -1 | 1 | | 0.17 | -1.60 | |
3/25 | A | Chandler | 11- | 17 | -6 | -1 | –– | 0.17 | -5.18 | |
4/01 | H | Gilbert | 18- | 4 | 14 | 11 | + | -0.17 | 3.32 | |
4/02 | H | St Francis Xavier | 13- | 11 | 2 | 8 | –– | -1.07 | | -5.86 |
4/08 | H | Corona del Sol | 8- | 4 | 4 | 1 | + | -0.17 | 3.06 | |
4/11 | H | Chaparral | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | -0.17 | 1.23 | |
4/15 | A | Chaparral | 6- | 9 | -3 | -1 | – | 0.17 | -2.42 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -6.26 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/26 | A | Highland | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
4/01 | H | Gilbert | 18- | 4 | -3.32 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.46 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1193 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 85.95 | | Natl Power Rank | 1193 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 80.88 | | Natl SOS Rank | 467 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.25 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1996 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.56 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1080 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 8-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
|
