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Salem Witches (2-15)

Conference: North Shore

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Mark Higley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	MARTHA'S VINEYARD (14-5)	MA 2	92.5		L	1-	12		0.000
4/04	vs. Swampscott # (10-11)	MA 3	88.2		L	10-	11	ot	-0.125
4/08	SAUGUS (8-9)	MA 2	88.0		L	2-	11		-0.175
4/09	at Woburn (8-10)	MA 1	89.8		L	3-	10		-0.050
4/14	at Peabody (14-6)	MA 1	92.9		L	4-	17		0.000
4/17	at Lynn-Classical/English (2-15)	MA 1	78.2		W	8-	7	ot	0.250
4/22	GLOUCESTER (9-10)	MA 1	88.4		W	5-	4		0.350
4/24	at Central Catholic (13-8)	MA 2	92.8		L	3-	19		0.000
4/26	CHELMSFORD (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		L	4-	16		0.000
5/02	at Danvers (7-13)	MA 2	86.2		L	10-	12		-0.125
5/05	BEVERLY (9-10)	MA 1	90.5		L	6-	14		-0.100
5/07	at Marblehead (10-9)	MA 2	90.8		L	9-	15		0.000
5/08	at Haverhill (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		L	2-	8		-0.025
5/13	LYNN-CLASSICAL/ENGLISH (2-15)	MA 1	78.2		L	8-	9		-0.325
5/15	at Saugus (8-9)	MA 2	88.0		L	6-	9		-0.125
5/19	WAKEFIELD (3-15)	MA 2	87.0		L	7-	16		-0.125
5/21	SWAMPSCOTT (10-11)	MA 3	88.2		L	3-	8		-0.150
# Neutral site			81.2						-0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Martha's Vineyard	1-	12	-11	-10		-1.09	-0.55
4/04	N	Swampscott	10-	11	-1	-5	+	0.00	3.79
4/08	H	Saugus	2-	11	-9	-3	–––	-1.09	-6.09
4/09	A	Woburn	3-	10	-7	-8		1.09	0.70
4/14	A	Peabody	4-	17	-13	-13		1.09	-0.49
4/17	A	Lynn-Classical/English	8-	7	1	0		1.09	0.55
4/22	H	Gloucester	5-	4	1	-4	++	-1.09	4.97
4/24	A	Central Catholic	3-	19	-16	-12	–	1.09	-3.73
4/26	H	Chelmsford	4-	16	-12	-12		-1.09	0.13
5/02	A	Danvers	10-	12	-2	-5	+	1.09	2.81
5/05	H	Beverly	6-	14	-8	-6	–	-1.09	-2.33
5/07	A	Marblehead	9-	15	-6	-11	++	1.09	4.57
5/08	A	Haverhill	2-	8	-6	-9	+	1.09	2.53
5/13	H	Lynn-Classical/English	8-	9	-1	3	–	-1.09	-3.63
5/15	A	Saugus	6-	9	-3	-5	+	1.09	2.09
5/19	H	Wakefield	7-	16	-9	-5	––	-1.09	-4.01
5/21	H	Swampscott	3-	8	-5	-4		-1.09	-1.30
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Martha's Vineyard	1-	12	1.00
4/14	A	Peabody	4-	17	0.49
4/24	A	Central Catholic	3-	19	3.73
4/26	H	Chelmsford	4-	16	-0.13
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	1745
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.66		Natl Power Rank	1745
Natl SOS Rating	69.14		Natl SOS Rank	1561
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	2587
W-L Pct Rating	0.12		W-L Pct Rank	2558
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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