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Salisbury Dragons (11-3)

Region: MD Indep

State: MD

Coach: Bob Conklin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Dover (9-7)	DE Caphen	80.0		W	9-	3		0.175
3/31	at Sussex Tech (11-7)	DE Caphen	80.1		W	10-	3		0.175
4/02	at Worcester Prep (9-5)	MD Indep	90.7	6	L	5-	13		0.000
4/08	at DelMarva Christian (9-7)	DE Diamnd	76.9		W	5-	3		0.100
4/11	SUSSEX TECH (11-7)	DE Caphen	80.1		W	10-	1		0.100
4/14	at Delmar (8-7)	DE BluHen	76.6		W	15-	6		0.100
4/17	GUNSTON DAY (7-8)	MD MILL	78.9		W	10-	4		0.150
4/18	MILFORD (3-13)	DE Caphen	67.9		W	16-	2		0.000
4/22	DELMARVA CHRISTIAN (9-7)	DE Diamnd	76.9		W	12-	5		0.025
4/24	WORCESTER PREP (9-5)	MD Indep	90.7	6	L	5-	13		-0.100
4/28	SUSSEX CENTRAL (4-10)	DE Caphen	69.1		W	13-	1		0.000
5/02	at Cape Henlopen (18-1)	DE Caphen	94.2		L	5-	15		0.000
5/07	DELMARVA CHRISTIAN (9-7)	DE Diamnd	76.9		W	9-	2		0.025
5/09	GUNSTON DAY (7-8)	MD MILL	78.9		W	5-	2		1.150
			80.2						1.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Dover	9-	3	6	3	+	1.28		2.91
3/31	A	Sussex Tech	10-	3	7	3	++	1.28		4.04
4/02	A	Worcester Prep	5-	13	-8	-10		1.73	1.57
4/08	A	DelMarva Christian	5-	3	2	6	––	1.28		-4.12
4/11	H	Sussex Tech	10-	1	9	6	+	-1.28		3.49
4/14	A	Delmar	15-	6	9	6	+	1.28		2.52
4/17	H	Gunston Day	10-	4	6	4		-1.73	1.67
4/18	H	Milford	16-	2	14	18	–	-1.28		-3.75
4/22	H	DelMarva Christian	12-	5	7	9		-1.28		-1.67
4/24	H	Worcester Prep	5-	13	-8	-6		-1.73	-1.90
4/28	H	Sussex Central	13-	1	12	17	––	-1.28		-4.53
5/02	A	Cape Henlopen	5-	15	-10	-11		1.28		1.19
5/07	H	DelMarva Christian	9-	2	7	9		-1.28		-1.67
5/09	H	Gunston Day	5-	2	3	4		-1.73	-1.33
									0.00	-1.59

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	H	Milford	16-	2	3.75
4/28	H	Sussex Central	13-	1	4.53
5/02	A	Cape Henlopen	5-	15	-1.19
10-goal correction: 0.51

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1417
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.33		Natl Power Rank	1417
Natl SOS Rating	68.09		Natl SOS Rank	1667
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	62
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	305
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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