| Region: NY C Sec 6 | State: NY | Coach: Meredith Fries |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/02 | at Gowanda (11-9) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.8 | | W | 17- | 12 | | 0.050 |
4/22 | WILSON (1-15) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.9 | | W | 20- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/25 | GOWANDA (11-9) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.8 | | W | 23- | 8 | | 0.000 |
4/28 | at East Aurora (13-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.6 | | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.425 |
4/29 | at Eden (11-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.0 | | W | 17- | 10 | | 0.150 |
5/01 | EAST AURORA (13-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.6 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.050 |
5/03 | SILVER CREEK (2-12) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.0 | | W | 21- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/04 | LAKE SHORE CENTRAL (1-16) | NY B Sec 6 | 76.6 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | at Silver Creek (2-12) | NY C Sec 6 | 75.0 | | W | 21- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/06 | at Akron (8-11) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.0 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | at Wilson (1-15) | NY C Sec 6 | 76.9 | | W | 23- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/13 | MEDINA (9-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.3 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.025 |
5/14 | AKRON (8-11) | NY C Sec 6 | 81.0 | | W | 20- | 8 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | at Eden (11-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.0 | | W | 16- | 11 | | 0.150 |
5/21 | at Jamestown (2-15) | NY A Sec 6 | 75.2 | | W | 21- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/22 | at Medina (9-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.3 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.050 |
5/24 | at Niagara Wheatfield (15-6) | NY A Sec 6 | 96.7 | 3 | L | 11- | 20 | | -0.075 |
6/03 | GOWANDA (11-9) | NY C Sec 6 | 83.8 | | W | 18- | 7 | | 0.000 |
6/06 | vs. East Aurora # (13-8) | NY C Sec 6 | 85.6 | | W | 18- | 9 | | 0.075 |
6/10 | vs. Penn Yan # (14-8) | NY C Sec 5 | 95.1 | | L | 2- | 18 | | -0.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 79.9 | | | | | | -0.15 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/02 | A | Gowanda | 17- | 12 | 5 | 8 | – | 0.89 | -3.48 | |
4/22 | H | Wilson | 20- | 0 | 20 | 17 | + | -0.89 | 2.92 | |
4/25 | H | Gowanda | 23- | 8 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -0.89 | 4.74 | |
4/28 | A | East Aurora | 9- | 10 | -1 | 7 | ––– | 0.89 | -7.56 | |
4/29 | A | Eden | 17- | 10 | 7 | 4 | + | 0.89 | 2.73 | |
5/01 | H | East Aurora | 14- | 6 | 8 | 8 | | -0.89 | -0.34 | |
5/03 | H | Silver Creek | 21- | 5 | 16 | 19 | – | -0.89 | -3.06 | |
5/04 | H | Lake Shore Central | 17- | 4 | 13 | 16 | – | -0.89 | -2.98 | |
5/05 | A | Silver Creek | 21- | 5 | 16 | 17 | | 0.89 | -1.28 | |
5/06 | A | Akron | 14- | 8 | 6 | 11 | –– | 0.89 | -4.97 | |
5/09 | A | Wilson | 23- | 4 | 19 | 15 | + | 0.89 | 3.70 | |
5/13 | H | Medina | 18- | 5 | 13 | 9 | + | -0.89 | 3.61 | |
5/14 | H | Akron | 20- | 8 | 12 | 13 | | -0.89 | -0.75 | |
5/15 | A | Eden | 16- | 11 | 5 | 4 | | 0.89 | 0.73 | |
5/21 | A | Jamestown | 21- | 6 | 15 | 15 | | 0.89 | -0.34 | |
5/22 | A | Medina | 17- | 3 | 14 | 8 | +++ | 0.89 | 6.40 | |
5/24 | A | Niagara Wheatfield | 11- | 20 | -9 | -7 | – | 0.89 | -2.35 | |
6/03 | H | Gowanda | 18- | 7 | 11 | 10 | | -0.89 | 0.74 | |
6/06 | N | East Aurora | 18- | 9 | 9 | 7 | | 0.00 | 1.55 | |
6/10 | N | Penn Yan | 2- | 18 | -16 | -2 | ––– | 0.00 | | 14.10 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -14.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/22 | H | Wilson | 20- | 0 | -2.92 |
4/25 | H | Gowanda | 23- | 8 | -4.74 |
5/03 | H | Silver Creek | 21- | 5 | 3.06 |
5/04 | H | Lake Shore Central | 17- | 4 | 2.98 |
5/05 | A | Silver Creek | 21- | 5 | 1.28 |
5/09 | A | Wilson | 23- | 4 | -3.70 |
5/13 | H | Medina | 18- | 5 | -3.00 |
5/14 | H | Akron | 20- | 8 | 0.75 |
5/21 | A | Jamestown | 21- | 6 | 0.34 |
5/22 | A | Medina | 17- | 3 | -4.00 |
6/03 | H | Gowanda | 18- | 7 | -0.74 |
6/10 | N | Penn Yan | 2- | 18 | 6.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.23 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 386 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.15 | | Natl Power Rank | 386 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 67.20 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1758 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.15 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1725 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.85 | | W-L Pct Rank | 155 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 8.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
| 
