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Salem Spartans (14-3)

Region: VA RivRdg

State: VA

Coach: David Turk

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	SOUTH COUNTY LC (5-3)	VA Indep	76.1		W	16-	6		0.000
3/19	E.C. GLASS (9-6)	VA WesVal	84.1		W	14-	6		0.100
4/01	NEW RIVER VALLEY (4-13)	VA Indep	73.8		W	13-	4		0.000
4/07	at E.C. Glass (9-6)	VA WesVal	84.1		W	15-	0		0.175
4/09	ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (6-7)	VA Valley	80.6	8	W	12-	5		0.025
4/12	vs. Brentsville # (7-7)	VA NoWest	79.5	9	W	20-	8		0.000
4/16	PATRICK HENRY (11-7)	VA WesVal	87.1		W	15-	3		0.175
4/19	MONTICELLO (5-7)	VA Jeffsn	79.5	10	W	16-	3		0.000
4/22	at New River Valley (4-13)	VA Indep	73.8		W	15-	3		0.000
4/24	WESTERN ALBEMARLE (14-6)	VA Jeffsn	91.2	1	L	7-	10		-0.200
4/30	at Charlottesville (6-7)	VA Jeffsn	82.4	6	W	18-	6		0.125
5/06	at Rockbridge County (6-7)	VA Valley	80.6	8	W	16-	5		0.100
5/07	at Patrick Henry (11-7)	VA WesVal	87.1		W	12-	5		0.250
5/10	ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (6-7)	VA Valley	80.6	8	W	13-	3		0.025
5/13	CHARLOTTESVILLE (6-7)	VA Jeffsn	82.4	6	W	11-	8		0.050
5/15	at Western Albemarle (14-6)	VA Jeffsn	91.2	1	L	5-	12		-0.125
5/19	at Broad Run (16-3)	VA Dulles	89.5	2	L	16-	20		-0.200
# Neutral site			82.1						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	South County LC	16-	6	10	14	–	-1.32		-3.71
3/19	H	E.C. Glass	14-	6	8	6		-1.67		1.94
4/01	H	New River Valley	13-	4	9	14	––	-1.51	-5.28
4/07	A	E.C. Glass	15-	0	15	3	+++	1.67		12.29
4/09	H	Rockbridge County	12-	5	7	9		-1.51	-1.89
4/12	N	Brentsville	20-	8	12	11		0.00	1.12
4/16	H	Patrick Henry	15-	3	12	3	+++	-1.67		9.00
4/19	H	Monticello	16-	3	13	11	+	-1.51	2.12
4/22	A	New River Valley	15-	3	12	11		1.51	0.74
4/24	H	Western Albemarle	7-	10	-3	-2		-1.51	-0.85
4/30	A	Charlottesville	18-	6	12	5	+++	1.51	6.73
5/06	A	Rockbridge County	16-	5	11	6	++	1.51	5.13
5/07	A	Patrick Henry	12-	5	7	0	+++	1.67		7.35
5/10	H	Rockbridge County	13-	3	10	9		-1.51	1.11
5/13	H	Charlottesville	11-	8	3	8	––	-1.51	-5.29
5/15	A	Western Albemarle	5-	12	-7	-5		1.51	-1.82
5/19	A	Broad Run	16-	20	-4	-2		1.51	-1.82
									0.00	26.88

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	South County LC	16-	6	3.71
4/07	A	E.C. Glass	15-	0	-5.00
4/12	N	Brentsville	20-	8	-1.12
4/16	H	Patrick Henry	15-	3	-2.00
4/19	H	Monticello	16-	3	-2.12
4/22	A	New River Valley	15-	3	-0.74
4/30	A	Charlottesville	18-	6	-2.00
5/06	A	Rockbridge County	16-	5	-1.00
5/10	H	Rockbridge County	13-	3	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.60

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	896
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.46		Natl Power Rank	896
Natl SOS Rating	71.13		Natl SOS Rank	1371
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	621
W-L Pct Rating	0.82		W-L Pct Rank	224
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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