| Region: OH 4 South | State: OH | Coach: Dan Rudbaugh |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/05 | DAYTON LC (11-6) | OH 4 South | 83.5 | 5 | L | 5- | 16 | | -0.100 |
4/10 | at Seven Hills (6-9) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 80.7 | | L | 7- | 13 | | -0.200 |
4/15 | at Lebanon (3-10) | OH 4 South | 78.0 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/18 | CENTERVILLE (8-8) | OH 4 South | 80.5 | | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.275 |
4/22 | SPRINGFIELD (0-11) | OH 4 South | 76.3 | | W | 9- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Little Miami (14-5) | OH 4 South | 83.5 | 6 | L | 4- | 16 | | -0.025 |
4/26 | vs. Centerville # (8-8) | OH 4 South | 80.5 | | W | 5- | 1 | | 0.250 |
4/26 | vs. Dayton LC # (11-6) | OH 4 South | 83.5 | 5 | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.075 |
4/27 | at Lebanon (3-10) | OH 4 South | 78.0 | | W | 6- | 3 | | 0.175 |
4/29 | at Clinton County (0-11) | OH 4 South | 73.9 | | W | 16- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | COLERAIN (1-8) | OH 4 South | 77.0 | | W | 11- | 4 | | 0.100 |
5/06 | at Springfield (0-11) | OH 4 South | 76.3 | | W | 9- | 1 | | 0.075 |
5/10 | at Fenwick (9-5) | OH 2 Reg 4 | 86.0 | | L | 2- | 15 | | -0.075 |
5/13 | LEBANON (3-10) | OH 4 South | 78.0 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.100 |
5/27 | FAIRFIELD (2-5) | OH 4 South | 76.3 | | W | 7- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/29 | at Little Miami (14-5) | OH 4 South | 83.5 | 6 | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.025 |
| # Neutral site | | 74.3 | | | | | | 0.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | H | Dayton LC | 5- | 16 | -11 | -6 | –– | -1.73 | -5.37 | |
4/10 | A | Seven Hills | 7- | 13 | -6 | -2 | – | 1.74 | | -4.00 |
4/15 | A | Lebanon | 6- | 5 | 1 | 3 | | 1.73 | -1.94 | |
4/18 | H | Centerville | 5- | 6 | -1 | 1 | – | -1.73 | -2.39 | |
4/22 | H | Springfield | 9- | 2 | 7 | 10 | – | -1.73 | -3.40 | |
4/24 | A | Little Miami | 4- | 16 | -12 | -9 | – | 1.73 | -2.93 | |
4/26 | N | Centerville | 5- | 1 | 4 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.34 | |
4/26 | N | Dayton LC | 5- | 10 | -5 | -7 | + | 0.00 | 2.36 | |
4/27 | A | Lebanon | 6- | 3 | 3 | 3 | | 1.73 | 0.06 | |
4/29 | A | Clinton County | 16- | 0 | 16 | 14 | | 1.73 | 1.88 | |
5/01 | H | Colerain | 11- | 4 | 7 | 6 | | -1.73 | 0.64 | |
5/06 | A | Springfield | 9- | 1 | 8 | 7 | | 1.73 | 1.06 | |
5/10 | A | Fenwick | 2- | 15 | -13 | -7 | –– | 1.74 | | -5.65 |
5/13 | H | Lebanon | 16- | 2 | 14 | 6 | +++ | -1.73 | 7.61 | |
5/27 | H | Fairfield | 7- | 0 | 7 | 11 | – | -1.73 | -3.99 | |
5/29 | A | Little Miami | 3- | 10 | -7 | -9 | + | 1.73 | 2.07 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -9.64 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | H | Dayton LC | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
4/24 | A | Little Miami | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
4/29 | A | Clinton County | 16- | 0 | -1.88 |
5/10 | A | Fenwick | 2- | 15 | 3.00 |
5/13 | H | Lebanon | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.01 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 80. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1790 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 80.40 | | Natl Power Rank | 1790 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 57.41 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2536 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.10 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1163 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.56 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1105 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.7 |
|
